- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
KOTARISUG
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Kothari Sugars and Chemicals Limited · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners
Latest close
26.43 INR
4.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 25.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.5%, after a 2.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
26.43 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
1.9%
1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.7x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.80% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.1%.
Indicator stack
5/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.80%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 25.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.5%, after a 2.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0912-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.1% over four weeks, 4.9% over 12 weeks, and -11.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-100.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change57.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 77%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength30/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality2/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Momentum28/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Growth3/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 17.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -13.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 24.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -12.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -15.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -6.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -20.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -36.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -181.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
1 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-7.9%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+4.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Defensive
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth47.0%
Trend47.0%active weekly trend signals
MD51.0%positive activity pressure
RS44.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Confectioners
4-week rank13 / 25
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD32.0%positive activity pressure
RS44.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis29/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.80%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.80% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors31/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 48; Buyback Yield rank 42; Small Cap Core rank 38 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Kothari Sugars & Chemicals Ltd is Rated Strong Sell Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26.43 INR | 4.5% | 25.38 INR | 42.12 INR | -0.00 | -2.09 | 331.4K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 25.28 INR | 3.4% | 25.39 INR | 42.24 INR | -0.06 | -5.87 | 138.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 24.45 INR | -2.4% | 25.47 INR | 42.37 INR | 0.07 | -7.06 | 157.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 25.05 INR | -3.2% | 25.57 INR | 42.49 INR | 0.23 | -7.67 | 151.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 25.88 INR | 0.4% | 25.65 INR | 42.61 INR | 0.36 | -4.87 | 173.0K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 25.77 INR | 3.2% | 25.73 INR | 42.71 INR | 0.29 | -6.19 | 62.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 24.96 INR | -4.0% | 25.80 INR | 42.80 INR | 0.25 | -8.97 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 26.01 INR | 4.2% | 25.94 INR | 42.89 INR | 0.32 | -5.66 | 16.9K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 24.97 INR | 1.1% | 26.04 INR | 42.98 INR | 0.32 | -8.49 | 29.7K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 24.70 INR | -3.2% | 26.19 INR | 43.07 INR | 0.38 | -9.22 | 47.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 25.51 INR | -1.0% | 26.36 INR | 43.17 INR | 0.72 | -7.69 | 97.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 25.78 INR | 2.3% | 26.55 INR | 43.25 INR | 1.03 | -8.09 | 160.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 25.20 INR | -7.9% | 26.75 INR | 43.32 INR | 1.30 | -10.60 | 213.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 27.35 INR | -1.7% | 26.91 INR | 43.40 INR | 1.62 | -5.81 | 391.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.