- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
VALE
BUE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Vale S.A. · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
11,620 ARS
-1.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 77.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a 2.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
11,620 ARS
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
90.4%
47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.6%.
Indicator stack
50/32
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
57/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 77.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a 2.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4712-week average 0.62
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.47Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.6% over four weeks, -3.8% over 12 weeks, and 71.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-4.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change79.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
2 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.0%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAR Basic Materials
4-week rank25 / 33
Group average8.4%
Trend breadth36.4%
Trend36.4%active weekly trend signals
MD39.4%positive activity pressure
RS30.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAR Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank4 / 5
Group average5.6%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.47; 1 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Vale Base Metals to Proceed with Coarse Particle Flotation at Salobo Increasing and Accelerating Projected Copper Production Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 11,620 ARS | -1.9% | 11,818 ARS | 7,793 ARS | -0.99 | -1.75 | 329.4K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 11,840 ARS | 0.3% | 11,787 ARS | 7,744 ARS | -1.09 | -5.73 | 262.6K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 11,800 ARS | 5.5% | 11,733 ARS | 7,694 ARS | -1.10 | -5.50 | 312.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 11,190 ARS | -1.2% | 11,675 ARS | 7,643 ARS | -1.05 | -7.73 | 163.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 11,330 ARS | -3.2% | 11,632 ARS | 7,596 ARS | -0.95 | -8.65 | 61.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 11,700 ARS | 0.9% | 11,574 ARS | 7,548 ARS | -0.85 | -3.09 | 6.5K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11,590 ARS | -0.1% | 11,508 ARS | 7,495 ARS | -0.95 | -1.46 | 10.2K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 11,600 ARS | -0.8% | 11,444 ARS | 7,443 ARS | -0.80 | -5.99 | 6.1K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 11,690 ARS | 1.9% | 11,358 ARS | 7,391 ARS | -0.58 | -6.59 | 39.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 11,470 ARS | -4.7% | 11,274 ARS | 7,340 ARS | -0.52 | 0.05 | 44.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 12,040 ARS | -1.3% | 11,189 ARS | 7,289 ARS | -0.35 | 2.89 | 1.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 12,200 ARS | 1.0% | 11,090 ARS | 7,233 ARS | -0.43 | 16.83 | 1.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 12,080 ARS | -2.0% | 10,982 ARS | 7,176 ARS | -0.46 | 22.82 | 340.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 12,330 ARS | 0.7% | 10,865 ARS | 7,120 ARS | -0.32 | 23.89 | 296.7K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.