SPSC NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

SPS Commerce Inc · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 73.38 USD
-0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 17.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 35.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.0%, after a 20.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 37 out of 100
Latest Close 73.38 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.0% latest completed week
4W Return 20.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 43.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 20.6%. Indicator stack 0/77 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 49/100 conviction; expected move 7.6%. News sentiment 58/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 17.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 35.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.0%, after a 20.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3312-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 20.6% over four weeks, 43.4% over 12 weeks, and -30.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.0%
4W20.6%
12W43.4%
26W-7.7%
52W-30.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change46.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change50.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality97/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Momentum5/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
33.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
69.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
33.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-6.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
35.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

SPSC shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 7.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction49/100
Expected move7.6%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation5
Volatility64
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 4

13 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

27 positive · 26 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move7.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-22.1%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-0.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses10
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis34/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.33; No reversal markers Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 11; Small Cap Core rank 71 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

SPSC shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 7.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.6% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

SPS Commerce (SPSC) Faces A 8% Fair Value Gap As Earnings And Guidance Land Insiders13 / 4

13 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202673.38 USD-0.0%62.52 USD140.5 USD1.28-18.253.2MOff
31 Jul 202673.39 USD20.0%63.22 USD141.1 USD1.17-15.183.9MOff
24 Jul 202661.16 USD-6.8%63.71 USD141.7 USD1.01-29.802.4MOff
17 Jul 202665.59 USD7.8%64.73 USD142.4 USD1.10-27.583.0MOff
10 Jul 202660.85 USD3.0%65.56 USD143.1 USD0.88-37.052.1MOff
3 Jul 202659.06 USD0.3%66.41 USD144.0 USD0.76-39.142.5MOff
26 Jun 202658.87 USD10.8%67.23 USD144.8 USD0.81-40.277.4MOff
19 Jun 202653.13 USD-3.8%68.05 USD145.6 USD0.63-49.642.8MOff
12 Jun 202655.24 USD-0.4%68.98 USD146.4 USD0.62-47.532.7MOff
5 Jun 202655.47 USD-2.3%69.86 USD147.3 USD0.49-47.354.1MOff
29 May 202656.75 USD5.6%70.74 USD148.0 USD0.17-49.792.3MOff
22 May 202653.72 USD5.0%71.59 USD148.7 USD-0.04-52.272.2MOff
15 May 202651.17 USD-9.4%73.54 USD149.4 USD-0.35-55.122.9MOff
8 May 202656.47 USD-4.2%75.47 USD150.1 USD-0.54-51.892.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context