- The trend backdrop is active with a 51-week active streak.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
AHL
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Adrad Holdings Limited · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Latest close
1.16 AUD
-4.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is -3.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.9%, after a -11.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
1.16 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-4.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-11.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-10.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
98.1%
51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -11.1%.
Indicator stack
99/20
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -3.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.9%, after a -11.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9112-week average 0.98
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -11.1% over four weeks, -10.8% over 12 weeks, and 76.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 51 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak51 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.77Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-200.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-83.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value98/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality82/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth15/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework65/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 16.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 8.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 52.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 6.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 7.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -5.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 5.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 266 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-4.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks4
Modest losses1
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Industrials
4-week rank92 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Specialty Industrial Machinery
4-week rank6 / 9
Group average-5.0%
Trend breadth11.1%
Trend11.1%active weekly trend signals
MD22.2%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape55/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis79/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.91; 3 reversal markers Factors93/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 6; Buyback Yield rank 51; Small Cap Core rank 9 SVQF65/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 91.0 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
Adrad Holdings Limited Revenue Breakdown – ASX:AHL Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.16 AUD | -4.9% | 1.20 AUD | 0.82 AUD | -0.77 | 4.90 | 96.5K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.22 AUD | -6.2% | 1.19 AUD | 0.82 AUD | -0.60 | 14.78 | 119.0K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.30 AUD | -6.5% | 1.19 AUD | 0.82 AUD | -0.12 | 26.39 | 41.6K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.39 AUD | 6.5% | 1.18 AUD | 0.81 AUD | 0.40 | 36.40 | 55.5K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.30 AUD | -8.4% | 1.16 AUD | 0.81 AUD | 0.76 | 29.70 | 206.8K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.43 AUD | -1.0% | 1.15 AUD | 0.81 AUD | 1.13 | 42.86 | 40.8K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.44 AUD | 1.4% | 1.14 AUD | 0.80 AUD | 1.15 | 47.95 | 5.0K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.42 AUD | 0.0% | 1.13 AUD | 0.80 AUD | 1.11 | 47.15 | 24.7K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.42 AUD | 6.0% | 1.11 AUD | 0.79 AUD | 1.12 | 49.81 | 23.3K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.34 AUD | 1.1% | 1.09 AUD | 0.79 AUD | 1.12 | 46.65 | 327.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.32 AUD | 0.8% | 1.07 AUD | 0.79 AUD | 1.03 | 45.46 | 89.3K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.31 AUD | 1.2% | 1.06 AUD | 0.78 AUD | 1.10 | 47.95 | 266.5K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.30 AUD | 5.7% | 1.04 AUD | 0.78 AUD | 1.12 | 49.01 | 163.6K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.23 AUD | -6.5% | 1.02 AUD | 0.78 AUD | 1.17 | 41.34 | 114.6K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.