CDG MIL Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Casta Diva Group S.p.A. · Communication Services · Entertainment

Latest close 3.05 EUR
3.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -3.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 3.05 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.0% latest completed week
4W Return -3.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 63-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -3.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7212-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.2% over four weeks, 1.7% over 12 weeks, and 140.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 63 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.0%
4W-3.2%
12W1.7%
26W25.5%
52W140.2%
Active trend streak63 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.91Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change2.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.67Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-45.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.8%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263.05 EUR3.0%2.85 EUR1.65 EUR-0.9113.6764.0KOn
31 Jul 20262.96 EUR0.0%2.83 EUR1.63 EUR-0.8214.7414.0KOn
24 Jul 20262.96 EUR-3.9%2.79 EUR1.62 EUR-0.8016.77116.0KOn
17 Jul 20263.08 EUR-2.2%2.76 EUR1.61 EUR-0.8922.55244.5KOn
10 Jul 20263.15 EUR7.1%2.72 EUR1.60 EUR-0.9324.93297.0KOn
3 Jul 20262.94 EUR6.1%2.68 EUR1.59 EUR-0.8517.4440.5KOn
26 Jun 20262.77 EUR-3.1%2.64 EUR1.58 EUR-0.6815.0366.5KOn
19 Jun 20262.86 EUR-4.3%2.61 EUR1.57 EUR-0.3316.2394.5KOn
12 Jun 20262.99 EUR1.7%2.57 EUR1.56 EUR0.0225.9111.0KOn
5 Jun 20262.94 EUR-4.2%2.53 EUR1.55 EUR0.1329.2222.5KOn
29 May 20263.07 EUR-4.1%2.49 EUR1.53 EUR0.2136.14184.0KOn
22 May 20263.20 EUR6.7%2.44 EUR1.52 EUR0.2645.27315.5KOn
15 May 20263.00 EUR-0.7%2.39 EUR1.51 EUR0.2039.11284.0KOn
8 May 20263.02 EUR-4.1%2.34 EUR1.50 EUR0.2841.29167.5KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context