GDWN LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Goodwin PLC · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Latest close 20,650 GBP
19.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.2%, after a 20.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 20,650 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 19.2% latest completed week
4W Return 20.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 61.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.2%, after a 20.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3512-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 20.3% over four weeks, 61.6% over 12 weeks, and 113.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W19.2%
4W20.3%
12W61.6%
26W-22.4%
52W113.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.76Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change261.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change681.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Oct 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 64%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength50/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework15/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
64.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
7.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
33.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
41.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
19.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
25.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
14.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
45.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
331.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

7 positive · 16 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-48.0%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+19.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.5% / -6.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202620,650 GBP19.2%18,255 GBP10,177 GBP0.769.8391.7KOff
31 Jul 202617,320 GBP-6.9%18,343 GBP10,074 GBP0.62-6.7467.7KOff
24 Jul 202618,600 GBP4.4%18,482 GBP9,994 GBP0.512.1234.3KOff
17 Jul 202617,820 GBP3.8%18,532 GBP9,905 GBP0.370.1229.9KOff
10 Jul 202617,160 GBP-2.7%18,588 GBP9,819 GBP0.21-1.6951.1KOff
3 Jul 202617,640 GBP8.8%18,703 GBP9,737 GBP-0.070.246.0KOff
26 Jun 202616,220 GBP0.2%18,770 GBP9,651 GBP-0.35-5.456.7KOff
19 Jun 202616,180 GBP6.6%18,886 GBP9,576 GBP-0.54-3.6140.4KOff
12 Jun 202615,180 GBP3.1%18,993 GBP9,502 GBP-0.77-9.758.2KOff
5 Jun 202614,720 GBP-2.3%19,180 GBP9,433 GBP-0.93-11.015.8KOff
29 May 202615,060 GBP8.0%19,396 GBP9,367 GBP-1.04-8.7161.9KOff
22 May 202613,940 GBP9.1%19,617 GBP9,299 GBP-1.15-15.2861.5KOff
15 May 202612,780 GBP4.9%19,668 GBP9,238 GBP-1.16-19.7185.5KOff
8 May 202612,180 GBP1.2%19,696 GBP9,184 GBP-1.18-23.3473.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context