- The trend backdrop is active with a 48-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
ASMN
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Latest close
1,500 EUR
2.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 10.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
58
out of 100
Latest Close
1,500 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
14.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.1x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.4%.
Indicator stack
96/23
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 10.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8312-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.4% over four weeks, 14.5% over 12 weeks, and 146.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 48 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak48 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-224.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change51.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-18.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol7.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Technology
4-week rank32 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD47.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
4-week rank2 / 10
Group average-3.4%
Trend breadth90.0%
Trend90.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape58/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis76/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.83; 2 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1,500 EUR | 2.4% | 1,301 EUR | 839.6 EUR | -0.48 | 13.16 | 3 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,465 EUR | 8.8% | 1,286 EUR | 833.9 EUR | -0.48 | 14.93 | 1 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,346 EUR | 2.0% | 1,270 EUR | 828.4 EUR | -0.36 | 6.61 | 0 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,320 EUR | -2.9% | 1,255 EUR | 823.8 EUR | -0.16 | 6.87 | 0 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,359 EUR | -3.7% | 1,240 EUR | 819.1 EUR | 0.39 | 8.68 | 25 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,411 EUR | 3.8% | 1,226 EUR | 814.4 EUR | 0.82 | 12.08 | 24 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1,359 EUR | -18.4% | 1,211 EUR | 809.3 EUR | 1.01 | 11.40 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,665 EUR | 2.5% | 1,196 EUR | 804.8 EUR | 1.04 | 34.72 | 53 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,625 EUR | 10.9% | 1,168 EUR | 798.1 EUR | 0.78 | 38.58 | 158 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,465 EUR | 6.2% | 1,142 EUR | 791.8 EUR | 0.38 | 29.95 | 36 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,380 EUR | -1.8% | 1,123 EUR | 786.6 EUR | 0.09 | 22.29 | 25 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,405 EUR | 7.3% | 1,107 EUR | 781.9 EUR | -0.15 | 29.01 | 52 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,310 EUR | -0.8% | 1,090 EUR | 777.2 EUR | -0.42 | 23.99 | 36 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,320 EUR | 7.8% | 1,075 EUR | 772.8 EUR | -0.54 | 25.41 | 0 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.