CMG TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Computer Modelling Group Ltd. · Technology · Software - Application

Latest close 3.82 CAD
-2.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.6%, after a -2.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 3.82 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.6% latest completed week
4W Return -2.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.46% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.6%, after a -2.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.8% over four weeks, 3.2% over 12 weeks, and -41.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.6%
4W-2.8%
12W3.2%
26W-16.2%
52W-41.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.97Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change201.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-28.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change5.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength78/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
81.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
21.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
22.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
20.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-18.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
0.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.5%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-2.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263.82 CAD-2.6%4.03 CAD8.06 CAD0.97-28.90495.6KOff
31 Jul 20263.92 CAD7.4%4.08 CAD8.08 CAD0.96-25.89441.4KOff
24 Jul 20263.65 CAD-2.9%4.13 CAD8.10 CAD0.63-32.75567.8KOff
17 Jul 20263.76 CAD-4.3%4.18 CAD8.12 CAD0.46-32.10643.4KOff
10 Jul 20263.93 CAD6.5%4.23 CAD8.14 CAD0.32-30.54650.8KOff
3 Jul 20263.69 CAD5.4%4.26 CAD8.16 CAD0.16-35.9170.4KOff
26 Jun 20263.50 CAD-8.1%4.30 CAD8.18 CAD0.23-39.95102.6KOff
19 Jun 20263.81 CAD-1.0%4.36 CAD8.20 CAD0.47-35.8352.8KOff
12 Jun 20263.85 CAD2.4%4.40 CAD8.21 CAD0.56-36.29157.0KOff
5 Jun 20263.76 CAD-2.8%4.44 CAD8.23 CAD0.49-37.85149.8KOff
29 May 20263.87 CAD-1.5%4.48 CAD8.25 CAD0.56-37.731.1MOff
22 May 20263.93 CAD6.2%4.53 CAD8.26 CAD0.34-37.18844.9KOff
15 May 20263.70 CAD-6.5%4.59 CAD8.28 CAD0.10-40.69724.2KOff
8 May 20263.96 CAD-0.7%4.65 CAD8.30 CAD-0.08-38.321.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context