RFL NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Rafael Holdings, Inc. · Real Estate · Real Estate Services

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Latest close 1.94 USD
-8.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 28.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.9%, after a -38.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 87d.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 1.94 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -8.9% latest completed week
4W Return -38.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 51.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -8.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -38.4%. Indicator stack 50/53 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 51/100 conviction; expected move 60.6%. News sentiment 52/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 87d Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 28.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.9%, after a -38.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.38

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -38.4% over four weeks, 51.6% over 12 weeks, and 10.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.9%
4W-38.4%
12W51.6%
26W67.2%
52W10.9%
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-76.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.56Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-78.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 82%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality15/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Momentum34/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
113.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-37.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
84.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-3183.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-3262.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-51.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
33.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

RFL shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 60.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction51/100
Expected move60.6%
Put/call volume
Pressure-98
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend agreement2
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 2

1 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

13 positive · 41 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings87dNext report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move60.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-51.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+44.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-29.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-8.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol16.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis74/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.80; 3 reversal markers Factors19/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 66; Small Cap Core rank 77 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options36/100

RFL shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 60.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 60.6% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

Form 4 Rafael Holdings Inc Class B For: 1 August By Investing.com Insiders1 / 2

1 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings87d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261.94 USD-8.9%1.58 USD1.67 USD0.4820.56403.1KOn
24 Jul 20262.13 USD-0.9%1.56 USD1.68 USD0.9933.52573.3KOn
17 Jul 20262.15 USD-3.6%1.53 USD1.67 USD1.4033.41743.6KOn
10 Jul 20262.23 USD-29.2%1.50 USD1.67 USD1.7835.731.4MOn
3 Jul 20263.15 USD14.1%1.47 USD1.67 USD2.0793.622.0MOn
26 Jun 20262.76 USD1.1%1.41 USD1.67 USD2.1075.141.3MOn
19 Jun 20262.73 USD21.9%1.35 USD1.66 USD1.9470.721.3MOn
12 Jun 20262.24 USD44.5%1.30 USD1.66 USD1.6942.622.9MOn
5 Jun 20261.55 USD13.1%1.27 USD1.66 USD1.35-1.19639.1KOn
29 May 20261.37 USD2.2%1.26 USD1.66 USD1.07-15.68163.9KOn
22 May 20261.34 USD3.9%1.26 USD1.66 USD0.94-16.81171.5KOn
15 May 20261.29 USD0.8%1.26 USD1.67 USD0.80-19.66334.8KOff
8 May 20261.28 USD3.2%1.26 USD1.67 USD0.76-20.60398.8KOff
1 May 20261.24 USD0.8%1.27 USD1.68 USD0.66-21.86514.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.