ASX Equity Snapshot

MCY Weekly Equity Report

Mercury NZ Limited

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 5.60 AUD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -3.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Mercury NZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, trading, and sale of electricity and related activities in New Zealand. The company operates through Generation/Wholesale, Customer, and Other segments. It operates 9 hydro generation stations on the Waikato River; 5 wind plants; and 5 geothermal generation stations in the central North Island. The company also sells electricity to residential, commercial, industrial, and spot market customers under the GLOBUG, Trustpower, and Mercury brands. In addition, it provides piped natural gas; broadband and telecommunication products and services; mobile services; and other products. The company was …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

MCY closed the latest completed week at 5.60 AUD. The 4-week return is -3.3% and the 12-week return is 3.3%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.82. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 47/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 2.6%
Volume 0.6x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 37 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 45 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 63 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 47 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 24 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 65 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
5.46 AUD
Vs Trend Line
2.6%
Fair Value
5.46 AUD
Vs Fair Value
2.6%
52W High
6.20 AUD
52W Low
5.04 AUD
Drawdown
-9.7%
Range Position
48.2%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -2.1%
4W -3.3%
12W 3.3%
26W 1.6%
52W 0.6%

Trend read

Active Streak
3 weeks
52W Active Weeks
25
52W Active Breadth
48.1%
Sector Scope
AU Utilities
Sector Rank
12 of 23
Sector Percentile
50.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.82
4W MD Change
-28.3%
Relative Strength
1.08
4W RS Change
-84.0%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
43.70%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
24.2K
13W Average
42.1K
52W Average
36.0K
Vs 13W
0.6x
Vs 52W
0.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
3.4%
52W Volatility
2.8%
Upside Weeks
25
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.3% / -2.3%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
ASX
Country
AU
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Utilities - Renewable
Currency
AUD
Market Cap
8.3B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 5.60 AUD -2.1% 5.46 AUD 5.46 AUD 0.82 1.08 24.2K On
5 Jun 2026 5.72 AUD -2.6% 5.46 AUD 5.45 AUD 1.11 5.34 20.9K On
29 May 2026 5.87 AUD 6.0% 5.45 AUD 5.45 AUD 1.21 6.94 31.5K On
22 May 2026 5.54 AUD -4.3% 5.44 AUD 5.45 AUD 1.07 1.87 32.7K Off
15 May 2026 5.79 AUD 4.9% 5.44 AUD 5.44 AUD 1.14 6.77 54.5K Off
8 May 2026 5.52 AUD -0.6% 5.44 AUD 5.44 AUD 0.93 0.47 73.5K Off
1 May 2026 5.55 AUD 1.7% 5.44 AUD 5.44 AUD 0.54 1.18 17.6K Off
24 Apr 2026 5.46 AUD 0.9% 5.45 AUD 5.44 AUD 0.31 -1.11 57.4K Off
17 Apr 2026 5.41 AUD 1.9% 5.46 AUD 5.44 AUD 0.27 -3.84 52.1K Off
10 Apr 2026 5.31 AUD 2.9% 5.47 AUD 5.44 AUD 0.20 -5.93 28.6K Off
3 Apr 2026 5.16 AUD -6.0% 5.49 AUD 5.43 AUD 0.09 -4.76 51.0K Off
27 Mar 2026 5.49 AUD 1.3% 5.51 AUD 5.44 AUD 0.16 1.91 50.5K Off
20 Mar 2026 5.42 AUD 3.2% 5.52 AUD 5.43 AUD -0.23 1.69 53.3K Off
13 Mar 2026 5.25 AUD -4.8% 5.53 AUD 5.43 AUD -0.52 -3.61 32.6K Off