- The trend backdrop is active with a 20-week active streak.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.67% based on similar historical setup states.
MOOO34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Altria Group, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Latest close
68.40 BRL
-0.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a -6.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
68.40 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.2x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.1%.
Indicator stack
79/54
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.67%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a -6.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8212-week average 0.67
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.82Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.1% over four weeks, -5.8% over 12 weeks, and 2.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 20 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak20 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.47Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-56.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.88Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-19808.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
7 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.9%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-0.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Defensive
4-week rank55 / 67
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.9%
Trend23.9%active weekly trend signals
MD56.7%positive activity pressure
RS25.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Tobacco
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis76/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.82; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.67%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.67% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Altria Group (MO) Reported Q2 Results And Buybacks, Is It Trading At A Discount? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 68.40 BRL | -0.7% | 68.88 BRL | 55.12 BRL | 0.47 | -1.88 | 75 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 68.86 BRL | -7.2% | 68.52 BRL | 54.92 BRL | 0.89 | -4.69 | 145 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 74.22 BRL | -1.1% | 68.26 BRL | 54.71 BRL | 1.32 | 4.55 | 880 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 75.04 BRL | 3.0% | 67.91 BRL | 54.47 BRL | 1.36 | 5.67 | 995 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 72.82 BRL | -2.8% | 67.50 BRL | 54.23 BRL | 1.08 | 0.01 | 145 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 74.89 BRL | -1.2% | 67.10 BRL | 54.00 BRL | 0.83 | 4.77 | 610 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 75.77 BRL | 6.4% | 66.62 BRL | 53.76 BRL | 0.43 | 6.59 | 660 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 71.19 BRL | 2.5% | 66.10 BRL | 53.52 BRL | 0.11 | 2.90 | 20 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 69.44 BRL | 1.1% | 65.75 BRL | 53.29 BRL | 0.25 | -1.28 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 68.68 BRL | -4.1% | 65.41 BRL | 53.08 BRL | 0.40 | -1.37 | 15 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 71.65 BRL | -2.6% | 65.08 BRL | 52.87 BRL | 0.42 | -0.17 | 35 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 73.57 BRL | 1.3% | 64.68 BRL | 52.65 BRL | 0.23 | 0.85 | 560 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 72.64 BRL | 7.9% | 64.46 BRL | 52.42 BRL | -0.10 | -1.25 | 85 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 67.30 BRL | 3.2% | 64.30 BRL | 52.20 BRL | -0.26 | -12.02 | 675 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.