- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ZPHR
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Zephyr Energy plc · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
0.03 GBP
-7.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.1%, after a -5.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
0.03 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-7.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-7.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.8%.
Indicator stack
22/91
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
58/100
32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.1%, after a -5.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3212-week average 0.33
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.8% over four weeks, 3.2% over 12 weeks, and 12.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.64Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change374.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-122.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 70%
Model confidence 56%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality78/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth78/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -46.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 18.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -25.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -70.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -3.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -42.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -6.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
9 positive · 20 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-17.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-7.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol7.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Energy
4-week rank73 / 93
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth34.4%
Trend34.4%active weekly trend signals
MD31.2%positive activity pressure
RS24.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank50 / 68
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth35.3%
Trend35.3%active weekly trend signals
MD30.9%positive activity pressure
RS26.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape42/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis44/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.32; No reversal markers Factors80/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
European earnings growth estimate rises to 20.8% as energy profits surge Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.03 GBP | -7.1% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | 0.64 | -1.84 | 10.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.04 GBP | -7.4% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | 0.66 | 5.89 | 11.6M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.04 GBP | 18.1% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | 0.59 | 15.74 | 19.4M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.03 GBP | -7.2% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | 0.11 | -0.51 | 18.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.03 GBP | -6.8% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.23 | 8.13 | 11.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.04 GBP | 13.8% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.54 | 13.98 | 3.4M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.03 GBP | 8.3% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.81 | 1.76 | 1.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.03 GBP | -3.2% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.75 | -5.02 | 747.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.03 GBP | 2.5% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.73 | -3.74 | 1.5M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.03 GBP | 0.5% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.72 | -5.78 | 15.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.03 GBP | -1.3% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.73 | -7.42 | 21.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.03 GBP | -3.2% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.70 | -7.71 | 11.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.03 GBP | 1.6% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.61 | -3.47 | 3.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.03 GBP | -7.5% | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.37 | -6.34 | 10.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.