- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
NZM
NZE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
NZME Limited · Communication Services · Entertainment
Latest close
1.07 NZD
0.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
1.07 NZD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
63.5%
33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.94% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.0%.
Indicator stack
35/30
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.94%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
47/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a 0.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3312-week average 0.39
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, -6.9% over 12 weeks, and -1.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-13.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change3.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment47/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-3.9%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+0.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses14
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNZ Communication Services
4-week rank2 / 4
Group average-0.2%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNZ Entertainment
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-1.9%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape36/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis29/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.33; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.94%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.94% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
NZME Limited Actuals & Estimates (NZX:NZM) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.07 NZD | 0.9% | 1.10 NZD | 0.94 NZD | -1.05 | -4.82 | 134.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.06 NZD | 0.5% | 1.10 NZD | 0.94 NZD | -1.03 | -5.00 | 106.7K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.06 NZD | -3.6% | 1.10 NZD | 0.94 NZD | -0.94 | -6.08 | 206.7K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.10 NZD | 2.3% | 1.11 NZD | 0.94 NZD | -0.96 | -2.13 | 96.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.07 NZD | -2.3% | 1.11 NZD | 0.93 NZD | -0.93 | -5.01 | 786.7K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.10 NZD | 1.4% | 1.11 NZD | 0.93 NZD | -0.77 | -1.74 | 4.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.08 NZD | -1.8% | 1.11 NZD | 0.93 NZD | -0.54 | -2.30 | 66.7K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.10 NZD | -1.3% | 1.11 NZD | 0.93 NZD | -0.26 | -0.55 | 23.2K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.12 NZD | -2.6% | 1.11 NZD | 0.93 NZD | -0.08 | 1.48 | 14.6K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.15 NZD | 3.6% | 1.11 NZD | 0.92 NZD | 0.15 | 5.99 | 15.9K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.11 NZD | -0.9% | 1.11 NZD | 0.92 NZD | 0.04 | 1.66 | 586.1K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.12 NZD | -3.0% | 1.11 NZD | 0.92 NZD | -0.01 | 4.48 | 385.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.16 NZD | 5.0% | 1.11 NZD | 0.92 NZD | -0.17 | 8.01 | 1.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.10 NZD | -0.9% | 1.10 NZD | 0.91 NZD | -0.44 | 1.36 | 228.7K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.