- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.28% based on similar historical setup states.
3028
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alpen Co.,Ltd. · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
2,293 JPY
3.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a 8.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
2,293 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
19.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
15.4%
8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.8%.
Indicator stack
8/80
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.28%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
58/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a 8.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4112-week average 0.17
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.8% over four weeks, 19.1% over 12 weeks, and -3.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change99.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change48.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.
1 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-4.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.7% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD77.0%positive activity pressure
RS23.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Specialty Retail
4-week rank12 / 47
Group average4.8%
Trend breadth51.1%
Trend51.1%active weekly trend signals
MD76.6%positive activity pressure
RS19.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis28/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.41; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.28%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.28% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.
Alpen (TSE:3028) Stock Extends Gains As Profit Growth Outruns Thin Margins Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2,293 JPY | 3.5% | 2,099 JPY | 2,081 JPY | 1.23 | -14.26 | 584.6K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2,216 JPY | 0.9% | 2,097 JPY | 2,077 JPY | 1.10 | -16.40 | 707.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2,197 JPY | 0.1% | 2,100 JPY | 2,075 JPY | 0.91 | -18.38 | 381.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2,194 JPY | 4.1% | 2,106 JPY | 2,073 JPY | 0.80 | -18.67 | 536.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2,108 JPY | 1.6% | 2,111 JPY | 2,071 JPY | 0.62 | -27.64 | 589.2K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2,074 JPY | 1.5% | 2,116 JPY | 2,069 JPY | 0.51 | -30.91 | 151.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2,043 JPY | 0.4% | 2,124 JPY | 2,067 JPY | 0.24 | -32.38 | 571.5K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2,035 JPY | -2.1% | 2,135 JPY | 2,066 JPY | -0.06 | -35.30 | 172.5K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2,078 JPY | 3.3% | 2,145 JPY | 2,065 JPY | -0.44 | -29.65 | 146.9K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2,012 JPY | 0.8% | 2,152 JPY | 2,064 JPY | -0.82 | -33.32 | 185.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,997 JPY | 1.0% | 2,162 JPY | 2,063 JPY | -1.07 | -34.45 | 1.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,976 JPY | 2.7% | 2,170 JPY | 2,062 JPY | -1.26 | -32.92 | 693.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,925 JPY | 0.4% | 2,181 JPY | 2,061 JPY | -1.22 | -33.44 | 1.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,918 JPY | -0.8% | 2,191 JPY | 2,060 JPY | -1.20 | -35.83 | 452.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.