HWBK NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hawthorn Bancshares Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 40.31 USD
3.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 3.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 72 out of 100
Latest Close 40.31 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.4% latest completed week
4W Return 3.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 49-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.4%. Indicator stack 97/68 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 59/100 43 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 3.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.4% over four weeks, 15.0% over 12 weeks, and 43.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 49 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.4%
4W3.4%
12W15.0%
26W17.2%
52W43.4%
Active trend streak49 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-29.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change170.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
10.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
14.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
73.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
27.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
42.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
27.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
93.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity11 / 0

11 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

22 positive · 20 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.9%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-5.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+3.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape73/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 73/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis81/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.99; 2 reversal markers Factors84/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 36; Small Cap Core rank 22 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

Enterprise value to revenue forward of Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. – NASDAQ:HWBK Insiders11 / 0

11 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202640.31 USD3.4%35.53 USD26.75 USD1.114.5591.2KOn
31 Jul 202638.99 USD1.7%35.24 USD26.59 USD1.026.5480.4KOn
24 Jul 202638.34 USD-2.0%35.05 USD26.45 USD1.135.5990.9KOn
17 Jul 202639.14 USD0.4%34.83 USD26.30 USD1.386.3252.6KOn
10 Jul 202638.97 USD0.9%34.73 USD26.15 USD1.581.6860.7KOn
3 Jul 202638.64 USD-4.0%34.54 USD26.01 USD1.632.7563.3KOn
26 Jun 202640.23 USD2.8%34.38 USD25.86 USD1.527.94153.9KOn
19 Jun 202639.14 USD4.4%34.15 USD25.71 USD1.210.5771.9KOn
12 Jun 202637.49 USD3.5%33.92 USD25.56 USD0.85-1.1344.2KOn
5 Jun 202636.20 USD-0.8%33.70 USD25.43 USD0.57-2.3533.1KOn
29 May 202636.48 USD3.8%33.50 USD25.30 USD0.61-6.1419.4KOn
22 May 202635.15 USD0.3%33.28 USD25.17 USD0.46-7.1033.1KOn
15 May 202635.06 USD-4.2%33.09 USD25.05 USD0.45-6.4737.9KOn
8 May 202636.61 USD9.9%32.89 USD24.93 USD0.56-2.9067.6KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context