- The trend backdrop is active with a 25-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ERW
SET
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
The Erawan Group Public Company Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging
Latest close
3.64 THB
4.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 19.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
74
out of 100
Latest Close
3.64 THB
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
19.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
37.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 37.15% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 19.7%.
Indicator stack
79/77
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 37.15%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 19.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9112-week average 0.64
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 19.7% over four weeks, 37.9% over 12 weeks, and 54.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 25 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak25 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change38.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2620.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-15.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains11
Modest gains4
Flat weeks2
Modest losses2
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.0% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTH Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank4 / 100
Group average3.0%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD76.0%positive activity pressure
RS24.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTH Lodging
4-week rank1 / 8
Group average3.7%
Trend breadth37.5%
Trend37.5%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape70/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis80/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 9/12.
Activity pressure 0.91; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.15%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.15% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Erawan Group to continue expansion after boss change Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.64 THB | 4.6% | 2.80 THB | 3.40 THB | 1.33 | 20.05 | 180.4M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.48 THB | 8.7% | 2.75 THB | 3.41 THB | 1.20 | 14.45 | 164.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.20 THB | 4.6% | 2.71 THB | 3.42 THB | 1.04 | 4.45 | 203.4M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.06 THB | 0.7% | 2.68 THB | 3.42 THB | 0.98 | 0.34 | 128.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.04 THB | -1.3% | 2.66 THB | 3.43 THB | 0.96 | 0.74 | 131.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.08 THB | -1.3% | 2.63 THB | 3.44 THB | 0.80 | 2.73 | 20.8M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.12 THB | 4.0% | 2.61 THB | 3.45 THB | 0.64 | 8.68 | 21.4M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.00 THB | 4.2% | 2.58 THB | 3.45 THB | 0.36 | 2.66 | 17.8M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.88 THB | -5.3% | 2.55 THB | 3.46 THB | 0.08 | -2.46 | 14.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.04 THB | 6.3% | 2.53 THB | 3.47 THB | -0.07 | 3.71 | 80.2M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.86 THB | 4.4% | 2.50 THB | 3.48 THB | -0.07 | -1.51 | 132.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.74 THB | 3.8% | 2.49 THB | 3.49 THB | -0.25 | -3.78 | 152.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.64 THB | -5.7% | 2.48 THB | 3.49 THB | -0.23 | -5.88 | 189.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.80 THB | 18.6% | 2.47 THB | 3.50 THB | -0.19 | 1.05 | 256.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.