- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
2249
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Nexchip Semiconductor Corporation · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
32.78 HKD
14.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 55.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.7%, after a 1.5% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
29
out of 100
Latest Close
32.78 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
14.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 5 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 29.33% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
14.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.5%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 29.33%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 55.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.7%, after a 1.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0012-week average 0.00
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/5Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/5Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/5Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.5% over four weeks, - over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment-
No current sentiment snapshot is stored.
Patient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility15.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher2 of 42 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-17.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+14.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains0
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses2
Recent vol15.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol15.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split2/2Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew16.4% / -13.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Technology
4-week rank46 / 100
Group average0.5%
Trend breadth14.0%
Trend14.0%active weekly trend signals
MD14.0%positive activity pressure
RS12.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Semiconductors
4-week rank4 / 26
Group average-10.8%
Trend breadth19.2%
Trend19.2%active weekly trend signals
MD15.4%positive activity pressure
RS19.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/5, activity pressure 0/5, relative leadership 0/5.
Activity pressure 0.00; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 29.33%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 29.33% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 32.78 HKD | 14.7% | - | 31.46 HKD | 0.00 | - | 9.2M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 28.58 HKD | -17.1% | - | 31.13 HKD | 0.00 | - | 18.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 34.46 HKD | 18.1% | - | 31.98 HKD | - | - | 32.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 29.18 HKD | -9.7% | - | 30.74 HKD | - | - | 51.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 32.30 HKD | - | - | 32.30 HKD | - | - | 64.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.