- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
TIMKEN
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Timken India Limited · Industrials · Tools & Accessories
Latest close
3,351 INR
6.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 56.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.6%, after a 4.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
3,351 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
65.4%
34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.77% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.6%.
Indicator stack
36/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.77%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
38 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 56.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.6%, after a 4.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6612-week average 0.89
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.6% over four weeks, -5.1% over 12 weeks, and 16.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-562.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change187.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength35/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth23/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 49.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 6.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 33.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 0.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 39.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 16.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 4.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 8.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -10.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 603.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.
10 positive · 26 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+6.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Industrials
4-week rank28 / 100
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth62.0%
Trend62.0%active weekly trend signals
MD43.0%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Tools & Accessories
4-week rank3 / 10
Group average2.2%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD70.0%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis65/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.66; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.77%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.77% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 61 SVQF34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1047.0 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.
Timken Keeps Quarterly Dividend at $0.36 per Share, Payable on Aug. 28 to Holders of Record as of Aug. 18 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3,351 INR | 6.6% | 3,363 INR | 3,212 INR | -1.09 | 4.66 | 304.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3,145 INR | 0.6% | 3,349 INR | 3,212 INR | -1.25 | -0.76 | 153.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3,124 INR | -0.5% | 3,346 INR | 3,214 INR | -1.18 | 1.17 | 199.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3,140 INR | -2.0% | 3,341 INR | 3,215 INR | -0.64 | -0.78 | 512.5K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3,202 INR | -5.8% | 3,338 INR | 3,215 INR | -0.16 | 1.62 | 220.3K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3,398 INR | -6.9% | 3,333 INR | 3,217 INR | 0.19 | 7.56 | 51.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3,651 INR | -1.0% | 3,323 INR | 3,216 INR | 0.61 | 16.77 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3,689 INR | 4.5% | 3,306 INR | 3,214 INR | 0.71 | 18.61 | 162.5K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3,530 INR | -3.1% | 3,286 INR | 3,212 INR | 0.97 | 15.79 | 41.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3,644 INR | 0.4% | 3,270 INR | 3,211 INR | 1.18 | 21.12 | 81.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 3,630 INR | -3.2% | 3,249 INR | 3,209 INR | 1.41 | 20.20 | 269.9K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3,750 INR | 6.2% | 3,233 INR | 3,207 INR | 1.27 | 23.81 | 938.0K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,531 INR | -1.8% | 3,208 INR | 3,203 INR | 1.19 | 17.68 | 339.6K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,595 INR | 4.8% | 3,188 INR | 3,201 INR | 1.29 | 17.64 | 312.4K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.