8444 TWO Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Green River Holding Co. Ltd. · Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production

Latest close 5.01 TWD
-6.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -29.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a -12.9% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 17 out of 100
Latest Close 5.01 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return -6.4% latest completed week
4W Return -12.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -24.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.23% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -29.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a -12.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.9% over four weeks, -24.9% over 12 weeks, and -64.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.4%
4W-12.9%
12W-24.9%
26W-49.7%
52W-64.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change31.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-64.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-5.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment-

No current sentiment snapshot is stored.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-70.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+43.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-29.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week-6.4%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses9
Recent vol16.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/35Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.0% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryTW Lumber & Wood Production
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-8.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 20265.01 TWD-6.4%7.12 TWD24.05 TWD0.33-64.8276.7KOff
7 Aug 20265.35 TWD-1.7%7.32 TWD24.25 TWD0.36-62.2162.0KOff
31 Jul 20265.44 TWD7.3%7.53 TWD24.46 TWD0.30-61.7630.0KOff
24 Jul 20265.07 TWD-11.8%7.77 TWD24.67 TWD0.18-65.8213.0KOff
17 Jul 20265.75 TWD3.4%8.04 TWD24.89 TWD0.25-61.5014.0KOff
10 Jul 20265.56 TWD2.8%8.24 TWD25.10 TWD0.02-65.9524.0KOff
3 Jul 20265.41 TWD-17.9%8.44 TWD25.32 TWD-0.09-68.7852.1KOff
26 Jun 20266.59 TWD43.3%8.60 TWD25.54 TWD-0.18-61.18286.6KOff
19 Jun 20264.60 TWD-2.5%8.70 TWD25.77 TWD-0.42-74.65141.0KOff
12 Jun 20264.72 TWD-3.7%8.89 TWD26.01 TWD-0.28-73.52366.8KOff
5 Jun 20264.90 TWD-11.1%9.07 TWD26.26 TWD-0.08-74.00312.0KOff
29 May 20265.51 TWD-17.4%9.28 TWD26.54 TWD-0.14-71.67179.0KOff
22 May 20266.67 TWD-26.1%9.49 TWD26.82 TWD-0.26-65.02361.2KOff
15 May 20269.02 TWD34.6%9.67 TWD27.13 TWD-0.64-53.02307.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context