NEST JKT Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Esta Indonesia Tbk. · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Latest close 720.0 IDR
4.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 54.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a 12.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 73 out of 100
Latest Close 720.0 IDR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.3% latest completed week
4W Return 12.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 22.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 54.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a 12.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.5% over four weeks, 22.0% over 12 weeks, and 143.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.3%
4W12.5%
12W22.0%
26W85.6%
52W143.2%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change6.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership97.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-9.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.9%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-15.3%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+4.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks2
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol9.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.4% / -5.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026720.0 IDR4.3%467.4 IDR389.4 IDR1.2797.8636.2MOn
31 Jul 2026690.0 IDR16.0%455.9 IDR386.2 IDR1.3199.8441.3MOn
24 Jul 2026595.0 IDR-3.3%444.4 IDR383.2 IDR1.2277.8213.0MOn
17 Jul 2026615.0 IDR-3.9%435.7 IDR381.1 IDR1.2488.2117.1MOn
10 Jul 2026640.0 IDR9.4%427.2 IDR378.8 IDR1.19108.6038.5MOn
3 Jul 2026585.0 IDR5.4%419.2 IDR376.2 IDR1.1097.022.6MOn
26 Jun 2026555.0 IDR-3.5%413.8 IDR374.0 IDR1.0390.173.9MOn
19 Jun 2026575.0 IDR2.7%407.4 IDR372.2 IDR1.0391.833.0MOn
12 Jun 2026560.0 IDR13.8%399.6 IDR370.1 IDR1.0395.9521.9MOn
5 Jun 2026492.0 IDR-2.6%392.3 IDR368.1 IDR1.1088.592.1MOn
29 May 2026505.0 IDR1.0%388.0 IDR366.7 IDR1.1879.953.8MOn
22 May 2026500.0 IDR-15.3%383.2 IDR365.2 IDR1.1180.2924.8MOn
15 May 2026590.0 IDR20.9%378.2 IDR363.8 IDR0.9498.3845.8MOn
8 May 2026488.0 IDR14.0%370.1 IDR361.3 IDR0.4961.3732.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context