TVE NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tennessee Valley Authority · Utilities · Electrical Utilities & Ipps

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Latest close 23.46 USD
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 23.46 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return 0.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.21% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.5%. Indicator stack 36/40 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.21% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 54/100 50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 0.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1012-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.5% over four weeks, 0.2% over 12 weeks, and 1.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W0.5%
12W0.2%
26W-3.5%
52W1.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change40.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-5.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value37/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth37/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
40.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
71.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-89.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
34.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

13 positive · 36 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility0.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+1.5%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-1.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses17
Sharp losses0
Recent vol0.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol0.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew0.5% / -0.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryUS Electrical Utilities & Ipps
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-0.2%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

TVE · NYSE0.5%ENO · NYSE-0.9%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape43/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis10/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.21%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.21% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

Discovery Park and TVA Team Up for New Energy Exhibit Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202623.46 USD-0.8%23.82 USD22.15 USD-0.72-12.1328.2KOff
31 Jul 202623.66 USD1.2%23.84 USD22.13 USD-1.05-8.6146.3KOff
24 Jul 202623.38 USD-0.3%23.85 USD22.10 USD-1.31-8.9755.3KOff
17 Jul 202623.46 USD0.5%23.87 USD22.08 USD-1.30-9.4322.5KOff
10 Jul 202623.35 USD-0.3%23.89 USD22.06 USD-1.22-11.5017.1KOff
3 Jul 202623.43 USD-0.1%23.91 USD22.04 USD-1.09-10.2993.4KOff
26 Jun 202623.45 USD-0.4%23.93 USD22.02 USD-1.22-8.5459.7KOff
19 Jun 202623.54 USD-0.0%23.94 USD22.00 USD-1.30-10.6330.7KOff
12 Jun 202623.55 USD0.3%23.95 USD21.97 USD-1.39-10.1150.5KOff
5 Jun 202623.47 USD-0.3%23.97 USD21.95 USD-1.49-10.2259.8KOff
29 May 202623.55 USD0.2%23.98 USD21.93 USD-1.50-12.4634.3KOff
22 May 202623.51 USD0.4%23.99 USD21.91 USD-1.43-11.7140.4KOff
15 May 202623.41 USD-1.2%24.00 USD21.89 USD-1.33-11.6948.2KOff
8 May 202623.70 USD-0.6%24.01 USD21.87 USD-1.23-10.7432.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context