- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
BMW
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
59.78 EUR
0.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 2.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
30
out of 100
Latest Close
59.78 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-19.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
55.8%
29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.8%.
Indicator stack
31/33
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
54/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 2.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.09
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.8% over four weeks, -19.7% over 12 weeks, and -27.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change18.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-28.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality9/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 4.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 15.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -1.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -6.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 2.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 7.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 10.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
1 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-35.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank30 / 86
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth34.9%
Trend34.9%active weekly trend signals
MD59.3%positive activity pressure
RS25.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank6 / 9
Group average2.1%
Trend breadth22.2%
Trend22.2%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape28/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Factors42/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 13; Small Cap Core rank 2 SVQF55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 170.5 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Bayerische Motoren Werke (XTRA:BMW) Could Be 67% Below Fair Value As Earnings Slip Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 59.78 EUR | 0.8% | 72.59 EUR | 76.85 EUR | -1.00 | -28.40 | 6.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 59.30 EUR | 4.1% | 73.50 EUR | 77.00 EUR | -1.05 | -27.56 | 8.3M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 56.96 EUR | -2.7% | 74.56 EUR | 77.19 EUR | -1.16 | -29.38 | 6.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 58.54 EUR | 0.7% | 75.58 EUR | 77.42 EUR | -1.20 | -27.16 | 7.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 58.14 EUR | -4.0% | 76.58 EUR | 77.63 EUR | -1.22 | -28.72 | 7.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 60.56 EUR | 2.5% | 77.67 EUR | 77.83 EUR | -1.22 | -28.23 | 1.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 59.06 EUR | -1.5% | 78.69 EUR | 78.03 EUR | -1.14 | -27.19 | 1.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 59.98 EUR | -10.5% | 79.50 EUR | 78.26 EUR | -0.91 | -27.25 | 4.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 67.00 EUR | -4.8% | 80.18 EUR | 78.46 EUR | -0.71 | -17.83 | 1.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 70.38 EUR | -5.9% | 80.74 EUR | 78.63 EUR | -0.57 | -14.27 | 1.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 74.76 EUR | 0.4% | 81.11 EUR | 78.77 EUR | -0.34 | -10.26 | 5.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 74.48 EUR | 0.1% | 81.16 EUR | 78.86 EUR | -0.51 | -9.87 | 6.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 74.40 EUR | -3.8% | 81.24 EUR | 78.95 EUR | -0.67 | -6.45 | 6.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 77.36 EUR | 5.0% | 81.29 EUR | 79.03 EUR | -0.67 | -4.26 | 6.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.