SMBC NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 77.15 USD
-0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 3.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 28/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 61/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 69d.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 77.15 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.3% latest completed week
4W Return 3.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 36-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.7%. Indicator stack 89/73 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 28/100 conviction; expected move 3.3%. News sentiment 61/100 41 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 69d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 3.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 1.0012-week average 0.97

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure1.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.7% over four weeks, 15.8% over 12 weeks, and 50.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 36 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.3%
4W3.7%
12W15.8%
26W18.7%
52W50.7%
Active trend streak36 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-19.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.23Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change54.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 67% Model confidence 67%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength37/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Value44/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum44/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Growth44/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
41.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

SMBC shows mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 3.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction28/100
Expected move3.3%
Put/call volume
Pressure3
Speculation0
Volatility27
Trend agreement91
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 9

6 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

21 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings69dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.5%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis83/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 1.00; 3 reversal markers Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 51; Small Cap Core rank 58 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

SMBC shows mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 3.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 3.3% Sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

Technical Reactions to SMBC Trends in Macro Strategies Insiders6 / 9

6 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings69d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202677.15 USD-0.3%68.18 USD53.42 USD1.388.23447.3KOn
31 Jul 202677.41 USD-0.3%67.59 USD53.20 USD1.4114.51458.7KOn
24 Jul 202677.63 USD0.2%66.95 USD52.99 USD1.4815.90482.9KOn
17 Jul 202677.44 USD4.1%66.36 USD52.78 USD1.6314.09463.0KOn
10 Jul 202674.42 USD-2.1%65.82 USD52.55 USD1.735.32422.8KOn
3 Jul 202676.04 USD-0.9%65.35 USD52.31 USD1.909.63510.5KOn
26 Jun 202676.75 USD5.8%64.73 USD52.06 USD1.9211.68892.1KOn
19 Jun 202672.51 USD0.2%64.04 USD51.81 USD1.530.97539.6KOn
12 Jun 202672.34 USD3.8%63.46 USD51.58 USD1.243.46631.8KOn
5 Jun 202669.70 USD0.9%62.85 USD51.37 USD0.782.03652.3KOn
29 May 202669.06 USD0.1%62.29 USD51.18 USD0.54-3.46254.3KOn
22 May 202668.99 USD3.6%61.71 USD50.98 USD0.58-0.90297.9KOn
15 May 202666.62 USD-3.4%61.16 USD50.76 USD0.60-3.25367.0KOn
8 May 202668.96 USD1.0%60.52 USD50.54 USD0.79-0.37401.6KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context