- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 68.97% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
FER
AMS
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ferrovial N.V. · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
57.54 EUR
1.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 71.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a 1.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
57.54 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.3%.
Indicator stack
51/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 68.97%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 71.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a 1.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6712-week average 0.75
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.67Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.3% over four weeks, 0.2% over 12 weeks, and 30.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2236.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-24.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
3 positive · 17 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-9.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNL Industrials
4-week rank14 / 24
Group average5.6%
Trend breadth54.2%
Trend54.2%active weekly trend signals
MD54.2%positive activity pressure
RS45.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNL Engineering & Construction
4-week rank2 / 4
Group average3.0%
Trend breadth75.0%
Trend75.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS75.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis43/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.67; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 68.97%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 68.97% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
Ferrovial N.V. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:FER) 2026-08-01 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 57.54 EUR | 1.4% | 58.03 EUR | 42.42 EUR | -0.74 | -7.18 | 21.3K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 56.72 EUR | 1.8% | 57.99 EUR | 42.23 EUR | -0.80 | -7.41 | 28.6K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 55.70 EUR | 0.0% | 57.92 EUR | 42.05 EUR | -0.63 | -8.22 | 8.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 55.68 EUR | -2.0% | 57.89 EUR | 41.87 EUR | -0.27 | -8.36 | 12.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 56.80 EUR | -5.2% | 57.90 EUR | 41.70 EUR | 0.03 | -5.77 | 14.4K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 59.94 EUR | -1.3% | 57.86 EUR | 41.51 EUR | 0.13 | -0.31 | 1.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 60.76 EUR | 0.0% | 57.75 EUR | 41.30 EUR | -0.11 | 3.46 | 1.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 60.76 EUR | 4.3% | 57.59 EUR | 41.08 EUR | -0.30 | 2.11 | 1.9K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 58.26 EUR | -0.3% | 57.34 EUR | 40.86 EUR | -0.52 | -2.03 | 3.6K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 58.44 EUR | -0.6% | 57.23 EUR | 40.67 EUR | -0.63 | 2.29 | 3.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 58.82 EUR | 0.4% | 57.07 EUR | 40.55 EUR | -0.51 | 3.91 | 40.7K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 58.56 EUR | 1.9% | 56.79 EUR | 40.44 EUR | -0.57 | 2.77 | 29.6K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 57.44 EUR | -3.3% | 56.65 EUR | 40.32 EUR | -0.59 | 4.51 | 22.5K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 59.38 EUR | 2.4% | 56.50 EUR | 40.20 EUR | -0.47 | 7.67 | 36.0K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.