ARX TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ARC Resources Ltd. · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 32.49 CAD
-3.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a 4.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 32.49 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -3.1% latest completed week
4W Return 4.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.5%. Indicator stack 67/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 53/100 10 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a 4.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7712-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.5% over four weeks, 5.2% over 12 weeks, and 22.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.1%
4W4.5%
12W5.2%
26W43.3%
52W22.4%
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1192.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.01Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change38.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength88/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Value83/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth82/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework65/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
50.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
26.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
17.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
17.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
133.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.

2 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.7%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-6.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-3.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape67/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis78/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.77; 3 reversal markers Factors74/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 13; Small Cap Core rank 19 SVQF65/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 108.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.

Does ARC Resources’ (TSX:ARX) Steady 2026 Output Plan Redefine Its Volume‑Driven Cash Flow Story? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202632.49 CAD-3.1%28.52 CAD24.55 CAD0.667.018.7MOn
31 Jul 202633.53 CAD2.6%28.22 CAD24.47 CAD0.7413.8914.5MOn
24 Jul 202632.69 CAD1.3%27.96 CAD24.37 CAD0.4310.4919.4MOn
17 Jul 202632.27 CAD3.8%27.71 CAD24.28 CAD0.179.3212.6MOn
10 Jul 202631.09 CAD4.2%27.45 CAD24.19 CAD0.055.0616.6MOn
3 Jul 202629.85 CAD1.4%27.27 CAD24.10 CAD0.230.76476.2KOn
26 Jun 202629.43 CAD-0.7%27.15 CAD24.01 CAD0.59-0.256.0MOn
19 Jun 202629.63 CAD-6.0%26.99 CAD23.93 CAD0.95-0.013.0MOn
12 Jun 202631.54 CAD0.2%26.82 CAD23.85 CAD1.255.843.5MOn
5 Jun 202631.47 CAD1.5%26.58 CAD23.75 CAD1.366.687.4MOn
29 May 202630.99 CAD-0.7%26.31 CAD23.65 CAD1.423.5915.8MOn
22 May 202631.21 CAD1.1%26.13 CAD23.54 CAD1.544.8219.3MOn
15 May 202630.87 CAD1.7%25.92 CAD23.44 CAD1.255.1522.4MOn
8 May 202630.36 CAD-4.0%25.71 CAD23.35 CAD0.952.2835.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context