- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AFK
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Air France-KLM SA · Industrials · Airlines
Latest close
12.73 EUR
4.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a -4.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
12.73 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
27.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.27% based on similar historical setup states.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.7%.
Indicator stack
41/54
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 36.27%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a -4.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7112-week average 0.41
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.7% over four weeks, 27.7% over 12 weeks, and -4.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-51.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.23Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-99.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.1%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-19.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth61.0%
Trend61.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS18.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Airlines
4-week rank4 / 8
Group average-3.4%
Trend breadth87.5%
Trend87.5%active weekly trend signals
MD87.5%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis50/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.71; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 36.27%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.27% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Air France-KLM SA Reports Traffic Results for the Second Quarter and Half Year Ended June 30, 2026 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 12.73 EUR | 4.3% | 11.14 EUR | 10.41 EUR | 0.46 | -9.23 | 3.6K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 12.20 EUR | 4.1% | 11.10 EUR | 10.42 EUR | 0.57 | -11.11 | 15.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 11.72 EUR | -5.2% | 11.09 EUR | 10.44 EUR | 0.66 | -15.05 | 7.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 12.36 EUR | -7.5% | 11.08 EUR | 10.46 EUR | 0.85 | -9.65 | 10.5K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 13.36 EUR | -0.1% | 11.06 EUR | 10.49 EUR | 0.94 | -4.62 | 2.4K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 13.37 EUR | -3.8% | 10.98 EUR | 10.51 EUR | 0.93 | -6.09 | 42 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 13.89 EUR | 10.6% | 10.90 EUR | 10.53 EUR | 0.80 | -0.17 | 5.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 12.56 EUR | 6.7% | 10.79 EUR | 10.55 EUR | 0.66 | -11.30 | 9.6K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 11.78 EUR | 4.1% | 10.71 EUR | 10.59 EUR | 0.36 | -13.20 | 17.8K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 11.32 EUR | -4.4% | 10.63 EUR | 10.62 EUR | 0.01 | -14.21 | 9.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 11.84 EUR | 15.1% | 10.58 EUR | 10.66 EUR | -0.14 | -11.42 | 19.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 10.28 EUR | 3.1% | 10.57 EUR | 10.69 EUR | -0.32 | -21.11 | 17.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 9.97 EUR | -3.7% | 10.60 EUR | 10.73 EUR | -0.40 | -22.00 | 17.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 10.36 EUR | 14.6% | 10.66 EUR | 10.78 EUR | -0.28 | -19.49 | 28.4K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.