TOR Equity Snapshot

AC Weekly Equity Report

Air Canada

Latest Close 21.50 CAD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 0.4% latest completed week
4W Return 12.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Air Canada provides domestic, U.S. transborder, and international airline services. It provides scheduled passenger services under the Air Canada Vacations and Air Canada Rouge brand names in the Canadian market, the Canada-U.S. transborder market, and in the international market to and from Canada, as well as through capacity purchase agreements on other regional carriers. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a fleet of 223 aircraft under the Air Canada brand name comprising 132 Airbus narrow-body aircraft, and 91 Airbus wide-body aircraft; 33 aircraft under the Air Canada Rouge brand name consisting of 13 …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

AC closed the latest completed week at 21.50 CAD. The 4-week return is 12.1% and the 12-week return is 24.0%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.71. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 61/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 11.2%
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 30 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 99 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 92 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 52 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 29 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 62 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
19.33 CAD
Vs Trend Line
11.2%
Fair Value
19.04 CAD
Vs Fair Value
12.9%
52W High
23.72 CAD
52W Low
16.45 CAD
Drawdown
-9.4%
Range Position
69.5%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 0.4%
4W 12.1%
12W 24.0%
26W 16.5%
52W 16.0%

Trend read

Active Streak
3 weeks
52W Active Weeks
19
52W Active Breadth
36.5%
Sector Scope
CA Industrials
Sector Rank
27 of 63
Sector Percentile
58.1%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.71
4W MD Change
359.7%
Relative Strength
-1.66
4W RS Change
84.2%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
41.82%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
9.8M
13W Average
14.5M
52W Average
13.7M
Vs 13W
0.7x
Vs 52W
0.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.3%
52W Volatility
5.1%
Upside Weeks
28
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.8% / -3.5%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
TOR
Country
CA
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Airlines
Currency
CAD
Market Cap
6.3B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 21.50 CAD 0.4% 19.33 CAD 19.04 CAD 0.71 -1.66 9.8M On
5 Jun 2026 21.41 CAD -3.0% 19.24 CAD 19.06 CAD 0.38 -0.84 9.5M On
29 May 2026 22.07 CAD 8.7% 19.14 CAD 19.06 CAD 0.29 0.93 16.9M On
22 May 2026 20.30 CAD 5.8% 19.02 CAD 19.06 CAD -0.06 -6.65 12.6M Off
15 May 2026 19.18 CAD -4.2% 18.96 CAD 19.07 CAD -0.27 -10.50 10.2M Off
8 May 2026 20.02 CAD 9.6% 18.92 CAD 19.09 CAD -0.19 -7.69 18.8M Off
1 May 2026 18.26 CAD -1.6% 18.85 CAD 19.09 CAD -0.37 -15.60 17.0M Off
24 Apr 2026 18.55 CAD -2.2% 18.86 CAD 19.11 CAD -0.49 -14.42 13.0M Off
17 Apr 2026 18.96 CAD 1.1% 18.83 CAD 19.11 CAD -0.57 -13.71 18.6M Off
10 Apr 2026 18.76 CAD 5.0% 18.83 CAD 19.11 CAD -0.73 -13.04 17.3M Off
3 Apr 2026 17.86 CAD -0.3% 18.83 CAD 19.11 CAD -0.85 -15.80 13.3M Off
27 Mar 2026 17.91 CAD 3.3% 18.87 CAD 19.11 CAD -0.67 -12.65 13.4M Off
20 Mar 2026 17.34 CAD 4.7% 18.93 CAD 19.12 CAD -0.12 -13.72 17.7M Off
13 Mar 2026 16.56 CAD -6.3% 19.01 CAD 19.13 CAD 0.40 -20.84 21.5M Off