- The trend backdrop is active with a 47-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
BMGB4
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Banco BMG S.A. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
5.20 BRL
-2.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a -2.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.
Setup score
60
out of 100
Latest Close
5.20 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
90.4%
47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.3%.
Indicator stack
95/33
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
57/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a -2.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6512-week average 0.68
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.3% over four weeks, 0.8% over 12 weeks, and 61.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 47 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak47 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-43.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-9.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
1 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.3%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-4.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-2.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Financial Services
4-week rank64 / 100
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Banks - Regional
4-week rank25 / 37
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth27.0%
Trend27.0%active weekly trend signals
MD43.2%positive activity pressure
RS48.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape64/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis58/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.65; 3 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Fitch Affirms Banco BMG S.A.'s IDRs at 'BB-?'/Stable and National Rating at 'A(bra)'/Positive Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.20 BRL | -2.3% | 5.07 BRL | 3.42 BRL | -0.74 | 10.99 | 5.3M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.32 BRL | 0.4% | 5.06 BRL | 3.40 BRL | -0.72 | 10.55 | 2.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.30 BRL | 3.3% | 5.05 BRL | 3.37 BRL | -0.66 | 13.15 | 3.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.13 BRL | -3.6% | 5.03 BRL | 3.35 BRL | -0.59 | 10.25 | 6.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.32 BRL | -1.1% | 5.01 BRL | 3.33 BRL | -0.52 | 12.09 | 6.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.38 BRL | 1.5% | 4.97 BRL | 3.31 BRL | -0.58 | 16.22 | 1.6M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.30 BRL | 2.9% | 4.93 BRL | 3.29 BRL | -0.81 | 15.77 | 777.4K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.15 BRL | 1.6% | 4.89 BRL | 3.27 BRL | -0.95 | 16.22 | 793.4K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.07 BRL | 1.4% | 4.85 BRL | 3.25 BRL | -0.84 | 13.28 | 954.4K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.00 BRL | -0.6% | 4.81 BRL | 3.23 BRL | -0.68 | 13.61 | 452.2K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.03 BRL | -2.7% | 4.77 BRL | 3.21 BRL | -0.26 | 11.61 | 3.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.17 BRL | 0.2% | 4.72 BRL | 3.19 BRL | -0.05 | 13.56 | 6.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.16 BRL | -3.4% | 4.67 BRL | 3.16 BRL | -0.06 | 13.10 | 8.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.34 BRL | 1.7% | 4.62 BRL | 3.14 BRL | 0.02 | 13.15 | 12.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.