- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
BP
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
BP p.l.c. · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Latest close
517.2 GBP
-6.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 56.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a 7.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 60/100.
Setup score
59
out of 100
Latest Close
517.2 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-6.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-6.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.2%.
Indicator stack
45/53
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
60/100
20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 56.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a 7.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.3x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4412-week average 0.67
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.2% over four weeks, -6.3% over 12 weeks, and 22.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change84.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change70.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength88/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Value96/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality19/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Momentum87/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Growth3/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework81/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 24.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 4.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 8.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 19.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 10.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 5.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 15.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 0.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -85.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -6.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 8.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment60/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 20 relevant articles.
5 positive · 14 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-6.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Energy
4-week rank29 / 93
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth34.4%
Trend34.4%active weekly trend signals
MD31.2%positive activity pressure
RS24.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Oil & Gas Integrated
4-week rank4 / 7
Group average6.6%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD28.6%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape57/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 57/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis45/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.44; No reversal markers Factors71/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 16 SVQF81/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 51.5 of 260 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment60/100Weighted news tone is positive across 20 relevant articles.
BP (BP) Has A New CEO And A Blunt Diagnosis. Will It Work? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 517.2 GBP | -6.4% | 518.7 GBP | 455.4 GBP | -0.19 | -0.97 | 363.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 552.5 GBP | 0.7% | 515.6 GBP | 455.2 GBP | -0.39 | 6.15 | 209.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 548.4 GBP | 6.1% | 511.8 GBP | 454.8 GBP | -0.74 | 6.95 | 180.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 517.1 GBP | 7.1% | 507.7 GBP | 454.3 GBP | -1.06 | 2.45 | 199.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 482.6 GBP | 3.3% | 504.6 GBP | 454.0 GBP | -1.22 | -3.27 | 178.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 467.1 GBP | -0.5% | 503.2 GBP | 453.9 GBP | -1.22 | -7.93 | 13.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 469.4 GBP | -6.8% | 502.7 GBP | 453.8 GBP | -1.06 | -5.95 | 56.7M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 503.8 GBP | -5.7% | 502.2 GBP | 453.7 GBP | -0.82 | 2.46 | 76.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 534.5 GBP | -2.1% | 500.5 GBP | 453.4 GBP | -0.56 | 7.79 | 27.7M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 546.0 GBP | 4.6% | 498.0 GBP | 452.9 GBP | -0.32 | 11.54 | 28.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 521.8 GBP | -5.3% | 495.1 GBP | 452.4 GBP | -0.16 | 6.69 | 318.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 551.2 GBP | -0.2% | 492.5 GBP | 452.1 GBP | 0.15 | 12.51 | 165.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 552.2 GBP | 3.1% | 488.6 GBP | 451.6 GBP | 0.38 | 16.27 | 224.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 535.5 GBP | -6.3% | 483.9 GBP | 451.1 GBP | 0.52 | 12.87 | 168.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.