CELU BUE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Celulosa Argentina S.A. · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Latest close 244.5 ARS
-2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.4%, after a -8.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 21 out of 100
Latest Close 244.5 ARS 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.4% latest completed week
4W Return -8.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.4%, after a -8.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.8% over four weeks, -9.4% over 12 weeks, and -7.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.4%
4W-8.8%
12W-9.4%
26W-25.5%
52W-7.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.31Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-173.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-53.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.2%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-10.0%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-2.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains4
Flat weeks2
Modest losses11
Sharp losses6
Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol14.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split15/35Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew15.0% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAR Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average-1.1%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026244.5 ARS-2.4%292.0 ARS580.9 ARS-0.31-30.38313.4KOff
31 Jul 2026250.5 ARS-4.8%298.1 ARS581.5 ARS-0.23-33.50307.0KOff
24 Jul 2026263.0 ARS1.7%304.9 ARS581.8 ARS-0.18-30.65475.5KOff
17 Jul 2026258.5 ARS-3.5%311.3 ARS582.0 ARS-0.22-30.63248.5KOff
10 Jul 2026268.0 ARS-0.4%317.8 ARS582.3 ARS-0.11-30.45176.8KOff
3 Jul 2026269.0 ARS-0.6%324.8 ARS582.7 ARS-0.04-28.9265.5KOff
26 Jun 2026270.5 ARS-6.7%332.1 ARS582.9 ARS0.06-27.4448.1KOff
19 Jun 2026290.0 ARS0.0%339.6 ARS583.1 ARS0.33-26.7486.6KOff
12 Jun 2026290.0 ARS-2.4%343.8 ARS583.0 ARS0.27-28.4563.4KOff
5 Jun 2026297.0 ARS-10.0%350.3 ARS582.8 ARS0.17-20.9368.7KOff
29 May 2026330.0 ARS22.2%350.4 ARS582.5 ARS0.01-15.141.2MOff
22 May 2026270.0 ARS0.0%349.6 ARS582.1 ARS-0.34-23.15587.8KOff
15 May 2026270.0 ARS-1.8%348.7 ARS582.0 ARS-0.48-19.71476.9KOff
8 May 2026275.0 ARS-3.2%348.6 ARS582.0 ARS-0.60-20.72417.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context