- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
EXAI
MIL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Expert.ai S.p.A. · Technology · Software - Application
Latest close
1.66 EUR
-1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a -1.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
1.66 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.9%.
Indicator stack
40/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a -1.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2712-week average 0.43
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.27Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.9% over four weeks, -0.7% over 12 weeks, and 18.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-3.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-23.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.4%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-4.3%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-1.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses14
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Technology
4-week rank20 / 33
Group average2.7%
Trend breadth51.5%
Trend51.5%active weekly trend signals
MD63.6%positive activity pressure
RS27.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Software - Application
4-week rank5 / 6
Group average19.0%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape39/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.27; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Expert.ai S.p.A.: Target Price Consensus and Analysts Recommendations | EXSY | IT0004496029 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.66 EUR | -1.7% | 1.69 EUR | 1.37 EUR | -1.03 | -13.51 | 500.7K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.69 EUR | 0.6% | 1.70 EUR | 1.37 EUR | -0.86 | -9.59 | 444.7K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.68 EUR | 1.6% | 1.70 EUR | 1.36 EUR | -0.90 | -9.64 | 289.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.65 EUR | -2.4% | 1.70 EUR | 1.36 EUR | -0.99 | -11.49 | 603.7K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.69 EUR | -0.8% | 1.70 EUR | 1.36 EUR | -0.99 | -10.92 | 865.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.70 EUR | 1.4% | 1.69 EUR | 1.35 EUR | -1.07 | -10.78 | 268.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.68 EUR | 1.8% | 1.70 EUR | 1.35 EUR | -0.93 | -9.55 | 199.9K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.65 EUR | -0.8% | 1.69 EUR | 1.34 EUR | -0.75 | -13.96 | 142.6K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.66 EUR | -1.0% | 1.69 EUR | 1.34 EUR | -0.63 | -11.17 | 126.6K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.68 EUR | 2.6% | 1.68 EUR | 1.33 EUR | -0.50 | -7.59 | 487.4K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.64 EUR | -0.4% | 1.67 EUR | 1.33 EUR | -0.45 | -10.24 | 760.6K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.64 EUR | -1.6% | 1.66 EUR | 1.32 EUR | -0.30 | -9.11 | 442.1K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.67 EUR | -1.8% | 1.66 EUR | 1.32 EUR | -0.16 | -7.06 | 871.2K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.70 EUR | -4.3% | 1.65 EUR | 1.31 EUR | -0.25 | -5.66 | 753.8K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.