SGY TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Surge Energy Inc. · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 9.99 CAD
-3.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.5%, after a 10.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 66/100.

Setup score 76 out of 100
Latest Close 9.99 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -3.5% latest completed week
4W Return 10.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 29-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.1%. Indicator stack 98/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.32% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 66/100 40 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.5%, after a 10.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7712-week average 0.91

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.1% over four weeks, -0.7% over 12 weeks, and 47.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 29 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.5%
4W10.1%
12W-0.7%
26W34.5%
52W47.4%
Active trend streak29 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change85.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change94.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 82%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength93/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Value84/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality73/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth15/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
136.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
52.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
16.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-12.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
27.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 40 relevant articles.

29 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-7.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-3.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape77/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 77/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.77; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.32%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.32% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors80/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 35; Small Cap Core rank 22 SVQF54/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 139.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 40 relevant articles.

Surge Energy (TSE:SGY) Reaches New 12-Month High - What's Next? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20269.99 CAD-3.5%8.89 CAD6.51 CAD-0.1112.403.9MOn
31 Jul 202610.35 CAD1.3%8.77 CAD6.49 CAD-0.2620.564.6MOn
24 Jul 202610.22 CAD8.6%8.65 CAD6.47 CAD-0.5818.873.6MOn
17 Jul 20269.41 CAD3.7%8.53 CAD6.45 CAD-0.8410.202.6MOn
10 Jul 20269.07 CAD-0.1%8.43 CAD6.43 CAD-0.776.373.1MOn
3 Jul 20269.08 CAD-0.6%8.35 CAD6.41 CAD-0.426.84364.0KOn
26 Jun 20269.14 CAD-4.4%8.29 CAD6.39 CAD0.018.69805.9KOn
19 Jun 20269.56 CAD-5.6%8.23 CAD6.37 CAD0.3514.11377.3KOn
12 Jun 202610.12 CAD1.0%8.15 CAD6.34 CAD0.6921.36748.4KOn
5 Jun 202610.02 CAD7.0%8.04 CAD6.31 CAD0.8422.75508.8KOn
29 May 20269.37 CAD-5.4%7.92 CAD6.29 CAD0.9614.403.9MOn
22 May 20269.90 CAD-1.6%7.83 CAD6.27 CAD1.1922.742.9MOn
15 May 202610.06 CAD4.6%7.72 CAD6.25 CAD1.2828.093.9MOn
8 May 20269.61 CAD-2.1%7.59 CAD6.22 CAD1.2022.634.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context