2610 TAI Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

China Airlines, Ltd. · Industrials · Airlines

Latest close 19.90 TWD
-11.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -11.6%, after a -4.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 19.90 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return -11.6% latest completed week
4W Return -4.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -11.6%, after a -4.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.37

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.1% over four weeks, 11.5% over 12 weeks, and -1.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-11.6%
4W-4.1%
12W11.5%
26W-8.7%
52W-1.3%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-33.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-28.04Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-11.6%Week of 14 Aug.
Latest week-11.6%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 202619.90 TWD-11.6%19.63 TWD20.08 TWD0.69-28.04285.5MOn
7 Aug 202622.50 TWD0.4%19.62 TWD20.10 TWD0.81-16.80159.1MOn
31 Jul 202622.40 TWD9.3%19.52 TWD20.10 TWD0.73-15.93315.4MOn
24 Jul 202620.50 TWD-1.2%19.41 TWD20.10 TWD0.77-24.81168.2MOn
17 Jul 202620.75 TWD0.8%19.37 TWD20.12 TWD1.05-23.07216.8MOff
10 Jul 202620.59 TWD-5.1%19.30 TWD20.13 TWD1.25-29.090Off
3 Jul 202621.69 TWD-2.8%19.21 TWD20.15 TWD1.43-28.51334.9MOff
26 Jun 202622.32 TWD5.5%19.11 TWD20.17 TWD1.28-23.79491.7MOff
19 Jun 202621.16 TWD7.8%18.97 TWD20.18 TWD0.91-31.44390.8MOff
12 Jun 202619.62 TWD2.3%18.89 TWD20.18 TWD0.32-34.00257.6MOff
5 Jun 202619.19 TWD4.5%18.87 TWD20.18 TWD-0.11-37.64272.4MOff
29 May 202618.37 TWD3.0%18.87 TWD20.17 TWD-0.48-40.74501.5MOff
22 May 202617.84 TWD0.3%18.93 TWD20.17 TWD-0.80-40.04112.8MOff
15 May 202617.80 TWD-0.3%19.01 TWD20.16 TWD-0.86-39.52167.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context