SAO Equity Snapshot

A1VB34 Weekly Equity Report

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

Latest Close 235.5 BRL 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 0.9% latest completed week
4W Return 2.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

AvalonBay Communities, Inc., a member of the S&P 500, is an equity REIT. The firm develops, redevelops, acquires and manages communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion regions of Raleigh-Durham and Charlotte, North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Dallas and Austin, Texas, and Denver, Colorado. As of December 31, 2025, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 320 communities containing 98,694 apartment homes in 11 states and the …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

A1VB34 closed the latest completed week at 235.5 BRL. The 4-week return is 2.0% and the 12-week return is 9.1%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is 1.10. Setup signature: Deep recovery attempt with a 40/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 3.1%
Volume 0.4x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 0 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 63 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 100 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 24 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 17 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 37 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
228.5 BRL
Vs Trend Line
3.1%
Fair Value
251.1 BRL
Vs Fair Value
-6.2%
52W High
311.9 BRL
52W Low
211.0 BRL
Drawdown
-24.5%
Range Position
24.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 0.9%
4W 2.0%
12W 9.1%
26W -0.6%
52W -16.2%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
0
52W Active Breadth
0.0%
Sector Scope
BR Real Estate
Sector Rank
30 of 100
Sector Percentile
70.7%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
1.10
4W MD Change
1067.3%
Relative Strength
-9.86
4W RS Change
43.8%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
46.69%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
26
13W Average
66
52W Average
60
Vs 13W
0.4x
Vs 52W
0.4x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.2%
52W Volatility
2.6%
Upside Weeks
21
Downside Weeks
29
Downside Breadth
55.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.0% / -2.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
SAO
Country
BR
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Reit - Residential
Currency
BRL
Market Cap
130.8B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 235.5 BRL 0.9% 228.5 BRL 251.1 BRL 1.10 -9.86 26 Off
5 Jun 2026 233.4 BRL 1.1% 228.4 BRL 250.9 BRL 1.13 -10.29 5 Off
29 May 2026 230.9 BRL 0.4% 228.4 BRL 250.8 BRL 0.84 -14.41 24 Off
22 May 2026 230.0 BRL -0.4% 228.4 BRL 250.6 BRL 0.44 -16.65 4 Off
15 May 2026 230.8 BRL 7.0% 229.1 BRL 250.4 BRL -0.11 -17.55 43 Off
8 May 2026 215.8 BRL 0.0% 230.1 BRL 250.2 BRL -0.74 -26.44 0 Off
1 May 2026 215.8 BRL 1.4% 231.1 BRL 250.2 BRL -1.05 -28.47 10 Off
24 Apr 2026 212.8 BRL 0.6% 232.3 BRL 250.1 BRL -1.24 -31.54 4 Off
17 Apr 2026 211.6 BRL -0.5% 233.7 BRL 250.1 BRL -1.20 -34.44 27 Off
10 Apr 2026 212.5 BRL 0.0% 235.1 BRL 250.0 BRL -1.03 -35.51 0 Off
3 Apr 2026 212.5 BRL 0.6% 236.6 BRL 249.9 BRL -0.81 -33.21 17 Off
27 Mar 2026 211.3 BRL -2.1% 238.2 BRL 249.8 BRL -0.72 -32.05 229 Off
20 Mar 2026 215.9 BRL -3.2% 239.7 BRL 249.7 BRL -0.62 -29.32 463 Off
13 Mar 2026 223.0 BRL 0.3% 241.1 BRL 249.5 BRL -0.52 -28.36 65 Off