3993 HKG Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CMOC Group Limited · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Latest close 19.10 HKD
13.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 62.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.1%, after a 27.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 19.10 HKD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 13.1% latest completed week
4W Return 27.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 62.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 13.1%, after a 27.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1612-week average 0.25

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 27.8% over four weeks, 4.1% over 12 weeks, and 94.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W13.1%
4W27.8%
12W4.1%
26W-8.6%
52W94.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change50.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change303.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.5%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-19.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+13.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202619.10 HKD13.1%18.72 HKD9.61 HKD-0.3210.18247.5MOff
31 Jul 202616.89 HKD0.4%18.80 HKD9.52 HKD-0.67-2.41131.5MOff
24 Jul 202616.82 HKD8.6%18.89 HKD9.44 HKD-0.731.63257.3MOff
17 Jul 202615.49 HKD3.6%18.96 HKD9.36 HKD-0.90-4.00211.4MOff
10 Jul 202614.95 HKD-7.7%19.06 HKD9.29 HKD-0.64-5.01166.4MOff
3 Jul 202616.20 HKD6.4%19.15 HKD9.22 HKD-0.597.5148.6MOff
26 Jun 202615.22 HKD-19.3%19.24 HKD9.14 HKD-0.665.1341.2MOff
19 Jun 202618.87 HKD0.4%19.26 HKD9.07 HKD-0.5924.83283.9MOff
12 Jun 202618.80 HKD4.0%19.13 HKD8.97 HKD-0.8522.24103.2MOff
5 Jun 202618.08 HKD-0.9%19.07 HKD8.88 HKD-0.8618.1433.1MOff
29 May 202618.25 HKD-1.0%19.01 HKD8.79 HKD-0.7319.91241.2MOff
22 May 202618.44 HKD0.5%18.95 HKD8.70 HKD-0.8320.97203.0MOff
15 May 202618.35 HKD-7.3%18.87 HKD8.60 HKD-0.9520.57243.2MOff
8 May 202619.81 HKD14.5%18.73 HKD8.51 HKD-1.0329.92213.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context