- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
6969
TAI
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TRANSCENE CO LTD · Industrials · Conglomerates
Latest close
31.40 TWD
-11.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 31.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -11.5%, after a 30.8% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
31.40 TWD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
-11.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
30.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
12.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.42% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-11.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 30.8%.
Indicator stack
12/87
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.42%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 31.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -11.5%, after a 30.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1912-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 30.8% over four weeks, 12.1% over 12 weeks, and -36.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change208.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.49Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change34.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment-
No current sentiment snapshot is stored.
Patient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility18.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+60.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-16.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-11.5%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks2
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol18.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.1% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth55.0%
Trend55.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Conglomerates
4-week rank1 / 11
Group average4.4%
Trend breadth27.3%
Trend27.3%active weekly trend signals
MD63.6%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape27/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis17/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.42%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.42% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 31.40 TWD | -11.5% | 29.53 TWD | 36.60 TWD | 1.13 | -32.49 | 879.1K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 35.50 TWD | 10.4% | 29.48 TWD | 36.65 TWD | 0.56 | -22.95 | 928.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 32.15 TWD | -16.6% | 29.32 TWD | 36.66 TWD | 0.06 | -30.15 | 2.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 38.55 TWD | 60.6% | 29.22 TWD | 36.71 TWD | -0.36 | -19.22 | 5.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 24.00 TWD | -7.7% | 28.94 TWD | 36.69 TWD | -1.04 | -49.41 | 336.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 26.00 TWD | 0.6% | 29.18 TWD | 36.83 TWD | -0.80 | -49.55 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 25.85 TWD | 5.5% | 29.36 TWD | 36.94 TWD | -0.67 | -52.37 | 597.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 24.50 TWD | -7.2% | 29.61 TWD | 37.06 TWD | -0.63 | -53.39 | 289.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 26.40 TWD | -2.2% | 29.84 TWD | 37.20 TWD | -0.31 | -52.64 | 342.0K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 27.00 TWD | -2.0% | 30.11 TWD | 37.32 TWD | -0.28 | -49.69 | 355.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 27.55 TWD | -1.6% | 30.39 TWD | 37.44 TWD | -0.24 | -50.29 | 371.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 28.00 TWD | 0.0% | 30.68 TWD | 37.55 TWD | -0.22 | -49.74 | 379.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 28.00 TWD | -0.7% | 30.93 TWD | 37.66 TWD | -0.33 | -47.43 | 218.1K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 28.20 TWD | -2.6% | 31.26 TWD | 37.77 TWD | -0.11 | -46.24 | 338.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.