- The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
QBE
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
QBE Insurance Group Limited · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
Latest close
24.42 AUD
-1.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 82.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a -4.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
69
out of 100
Latest Close
24.42 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.1%.
Indicator stack
69/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.23%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
35 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 82.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a -4.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9712-week average 0.97
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.1% over four weeks, 6.0% over 12 weeks, and 20.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.98Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-15.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-54.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 60%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength96/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Value88/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality89/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 16.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 10.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 20.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 16.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 21.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 73.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.
8 positive · 25 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-3.9%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-1.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Financial Services
4-week rank88 / 100
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth43.0%
Trend43.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Insurance - Property & Casualty
4-week rank4 / 4
Group average1.7%
Trend breadth75.0%
Trend75.0%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS75.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape72/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 72/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis85/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.97; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.23%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.23% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors90/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 7 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.
CITIWARRANTS 12.162 QBE 25-NOV-32 INSTAL MINI (ASX:QBEJOE) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 24.42 AUD | -1.3% | 22.28 AUD | 18.21 AUD | 0.98 | 9.86 | 17.7M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 24.73 AUD | -0.5% | 22.11 AUD | 18.14 AUD | 1.23 | 15.11 | 15.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 24.85 AUD | -0.6% | 21.92 AUD | 18.07 AUD | 1.24 | 18.60 | 18.6M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 24.99 AUD | -1.9% | 21.73 AUD | 18.00 AUD | 1.21 | 19.28 | 15.6M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 25.47 AUD | 2.6% | 21.53 AUD | 17.93 AUD | 1.16 | 21.77 | 12.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 24.83 AUD | -0.0% | 21.30 AUD | 17.85 AUD | 1.04 | 18.56 | 2.2M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 24.84 AUD | 3.2% | 21.08 AUD | 17.78 AUD | 0.94 | 20.00 | 3.3M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 24.06 AUD | 0.0% | 20.87 AUD | 17.71 AUD | 0.81 | 15.61 | 7.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 24.06 AUD | 6.1% | 20.70 AUD | 17.64 AUD | 0.93 | 16.04 | 3.5M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 22.67 AUD | 0.1% | 20.55 AUD | 17.57 AUD | 1.00 | 11.73 | 13.1M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 22.64 AUD | -3.9% | 20.43 AUD | 17.51 AUD | 1.15 | 10.21 | 10.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 23.57 AUD | 2.3% | 20.31 AUD | 17.45 AUD | 1.27 | 15.71 | 15.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 23.04 AUD | 3.3% | 20.18 AUD | 17.38 AUD | 1.22 | 13.54 | 9.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 22.30 AUD | -0.8% | 20.04 AUD | 17.31 AUD | 1.36 | 8.56 | 14.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.