- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
LUG
STO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Lundin Gold Inc. · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
621.8 SEK
15.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.0%, after a 15.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
621.8 SEK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
15.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
15.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
67.3%
35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
15.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 15.0%.
Indicator stack
37/40
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
54/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.0%, after a 15.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 15.0% over four weeks, 3.3% over 12 weeks, and 8.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.76Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change45.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change33.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
4 positive · 17 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+15.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Basic Materials
4-week rank9 / 47
Group average6.7%
Trend breadth31.9%
Trend31.9%active weekly trend signals
MD55.3%positive activity pressure
RS27.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Gold
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average3.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
Lundin Gold (TSX:LUG) Stays On Track As Grades Improve Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 621.8 SEK | 15.0% | 652.4 SEK | 374.4 SEK | -0.76 | -16.53 | 863.7K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 540.6 SEK | -2.0% | 657.2 SEK | 371.2 SEK | -1.32 | -26.17 | 555.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 551.4 SEK | 4.7% | 663.6 SEK | 368.6 SEK | -1.40 | -23.68 | 482.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 526.8 SEK | -2.6% | 671.6 SEK | 366.0 SEK | -1.42 | -25.86 | 348.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 540.6 SEK | -4.3% | 679.7 SEK | 363.5 SEK | -1.38 | -24.72 | 393.6K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 564.6 SEK | 5.3% | 686.3 SEK | 360.9 SEK | -1.42 | -23.21 | 121.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 536.2 SEK | -5.6% | 691.9 SEK | 358.1 SEK | -1.49 | -25.10 | 81.3K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 568.0 SEK | 5.1% | 700.6 SEK | 355.5 SEK | -1.46 | -21.40 | 594.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 540.6 SEK | -3.6% | 705.9 SEK | 352.7 SEK | -1.48 | -23.81 | 92.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 560.6 SEK | -6.6% | 713.3 SEK | 350.0 SEK | -1.39 | -21.27 | 168.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 600.1 SEK | 3.3% | 717.3 SEK | 347.2 SEK | -1.24 | -16.40 | 717.1K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 581.1 SEK | -3.5% | 718.7 SEK | 344.2 SEK | -1.31 | -19.20 | 634.5K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 602.1 SEK | -5.5% | 721.1 SEK | 341.4 SEK | -1.31 | -13.21 | 537.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 636.8 SEK | 0.9% | 724.0 SEK | 338.4 SEK | -1.11 | -8.98 | 1.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.