OSL Equity Snapshot

NEL Weekly Equity Report

Nel ASA

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 2.65 NOK 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -10.9% latest completed week
4W Return -17.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Neutral

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 45 Neutral

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is patient capital: Market Dynamics buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important.

Primary driver

Patient Capital Recent

Market Dynamics buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Main constraint

Weekly tape 35/100

Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

Price follow-through -10.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.7%. Trend signal Active Smoothed Trend Signal defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Market Dynamics buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Weekly tape 35/100

Trend, Market Dynamics, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

 Factors 50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient Capital Recent

Market Dynamics buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options 50/100

No current options snapshot is stored for this ticker.

 Sentiment 50/100

No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.

 Insiders 50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings 50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
Company Brief

What the company does

Nel ASA, a hydrogen company, provides solutions to produce, store, and distribute hydrogen from renewable energy in Norway and internationally. It operates through Nel Alkaline Electrolyser and Nel PEM Electrolyser segments. The Nel Alkaline Electrolyser segment supplies hydrogen production equipment based on alkaline water electrolysis technology. The Nel PEM Electrolyser segment supplies hydrogen production equipment based on proton exchange membrane (PEM) water electrolysis technology. The company was formerly known as DiaGenic ASA and changed its name to Nel ASA in October 2014. Nel ASA was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

NEL closed the latest completed week at 2.65 NOK. The 4-week return is -17.7% and the 12-week return is 24.1%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 1.07. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 32/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 8.5%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 28 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 31 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 67 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 26 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 38 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
1.92 NOK 35.9% 3.96 NOK
Range location 35.9% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance 8.5% Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap -42.7% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap -33.0% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -10.9%
4W -17.7%
12W 24.1%
26W 11.3%
52W 14.0%

Trend read

Active Streak
5 weeks
52W Active Weeks
10
52W Active Breadth
19.2%
Sector Scope
NO Industrials
Sector Rank
64 of 66
Sector Percentile
3.1%
64 of 66
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Pressure map

Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Pressure 1.07 Latest Market Dynamics read.
Pressure change -27.5% Four-week change in Market Dynamics.
Leadership -4.60 Latest Relative Strength reading.
RS change -129.5% Four-week change in Relative Strength.
Expectation Undecided 49.31% probability read.
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 0.9x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 38.4M 13-week average volume.
One-year base 25.1M 52-week average volume.
Latest 34.5M Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 6
Modest gains 5
Flat weeks 0
Modest losses 12
Sharp losses 3
Recent vol 11.8% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 7.7% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 22/30 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 7.1% / -4.3% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Options and sentiment

Options
-
Expected Move
-
Sentiment
-
Articles
-

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
OSL
Country
NO
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Specialty Industrial Machinery
Currency
NOK
Market Cap
7.1B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 2.65 NOK -10.9% 2.44 NOK 4.63 NOK 1.07 -4.60 34.5M On
5 Jun 2026 2.98 NOK -22.6% 2.43 NOK 4.70 NOK 1.33 6.49 36.5M On
29 May 2026 3.85 NOK 7.6% 2.42 NOK 4.77 NOK 1.52 37.84 48.0M On
22 May 2026 3.58 NOK 11.0% 2.36 NOK 4.83 NOK 1.55 26.36 51.9M On
15 May 2026 3.22 NOK 11.8% 2.32 NOK 4.90 NOK 1.48 15.56 32.2M On
8 May 2026 2.88 NOK -2.7% 2.30 NOK 4.98 NOK 1.45 5.98 66.0M Off
1 May 2026 2.96 NOK 26.0% 2.29 NOK 5.05 NOK 0.94 6.22 47.5M Off
24 Apr 2026 2.35 NOK -2.9% 2.27 NOK 5.13 NOK 0.46 -14.64 31.8M Off
17 Apr 2026 2.42 NOK 15.2% 2.27 NOK 5.21 NOK -0.03 -11.55 28.7M Off
10 Apr 2026 2.10 NOK -1.9% 2.26 NOK 5.27 NOK -0.40 -26.42 14.0M Off
3 Apr 2026 2.14 NOK 2.1% 2.26 NOK 5.35 NOK -0.53 -26.02 7.5M Off
27 Mar 2026 2.10 NOK -1.9% 2.26 NOK 5.42 NOK -0.56 -25.45 22.5M Off
20 Mar 2026 2.14 NOK 2.0% 2.27 NOK 5.50 NOK -0.57 -24.01 78.2M Off
13 Mar 2026 2.09 NOK -1.7% 2.28 NOK 5.57 NOK -0.84 -25.51 12.2M Off