- The trend backdrop is active with a 31-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
3631
TWO
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Chernan Metal Industrial Corp. · Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Latest close
36.30 TWD
16.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.3%, after a 12.4% four-week move.
Setup score
53
out of 100
Latest Close
36.30 TWD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
16.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.59% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
16.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.4%.
Indicator stack
78/26
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.59%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.3%, after a 12.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4612-week average 0.72
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.46Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.4% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and 50.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 31 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak31 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-120.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.23Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change49.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment-
No current sentiment snapshot is stored.
Patient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+28.4%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+16.3%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.7% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth55.0%
Trend55.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Metal Fabrication
4-week rank3 / 30
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD36.7%positive activity pressure
RS3.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis52/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.46; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.59%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.59% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 36.30 TWD | 16.3% | 31.97 TWD | 33.21 TWD | -0.80 | -6.23 | 740.1K | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 31.20 TWD | -1.3% | 31.54 TWD | 33.18 TWD | -0.89 | -16.92 | 141.1K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 31.60 TWD | -4.0% | 31.28 TWD | 33.19 TWD | -0.72 | -14.28 | 172.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 32.90 TWD | 1.9% | 31.04 TWD | 33.19 TWD | -0.45 | -12.34 | 153.1K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 32.30 TWD | -1.7% | 30.77 TWD | 33.18 TWD | -0.36 | -12.43 | 183.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 32.85 TWD | -3.4% | 30.49 TWD | 33.17 TWD | -0.19 | -16.82 | 163.1K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 34.00 TWD | 1.3% | 30.19 TWD | 33.16 TWD | 0.00 | -17.12 | 232.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 33.55 TWD | -1.3% | 29.87 TWD | 33.14 TWD | 0.13 | -14.85 | 257.1K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 34.00 TWD | 0.1% | 29.50 TWD | 33.13 TWD | 0.47 | -18.04 | 591.0K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 33.95 TWD | -1.5% | 29.13 TWD | 33.11 TWD | 0.75 | -14.82 | 453.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 34.45 TWD | -5.5% | 28.77 TWD | 33.12 TWD | 1.04 | -16.20 | 778.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 36.45 TWD | -3.6% | 28.47 TWD | 33.10 TWD | 1.24 | -11.65 | 1.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 37.80 TWD | -0.8% | 28.12 TWD | 33.06 TWD | 1.35 | -4.01 | 754.1K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 38.10 TWD | -2.6% | 27.78 TWD | 33.03 TWD | 1.46 | -1.53 | 1.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.