- The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MCP
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Microchip Technology Incorporated · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
73.24 EUR
12.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.7%, after a -0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
73.24 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
12.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
32.7%
17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 32.55% based on similar historical setup states.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
12.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.5%.
Indicator stack
63/49
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 32.55%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
49/100
20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.7%, after a -0.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
23 Jan
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7812-week average 0.65
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.78Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.5% over four weeks, 9.6% over 12 weeks, and 19.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-74.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-44.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality60/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 172.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 8.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 38.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 57.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 11.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 18.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 7.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 12.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
0 positive · 19 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
23 Jan
20 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.7%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-13.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+12.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks4
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol8.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/14Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Technology
4-week rank56 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Semiconductors
4-week rank2 / 12
Group average-10.7%
Trend breadth83.3%
Trend83.3%active weekly trend signals
MD16.7%positive activity pressure
RS91.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape52/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis82/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.78; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 32.55%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 32.55% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors34/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 90; Small Cap Core rank 99 SVQF11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 335.5 of 376 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
Bank of America Corp DE Decreases Stock Holdings in Microchip Technology Incorporated $MCHP Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 73.24 EUR | 12.7% | 65.75 EUR | 61.81 EUR | 0.28 | 8.51 | 677 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 64.99 EUR | -13.0% | 65.12 EUR | 61.74 EUR | 0.48 | -0.94 | 499 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 74.74 EUR | 2.8% | 64.84 EUR | 61.72 EUR | 0.81 | 16.33 | 238 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 72.69 EUR | -1.3% | 64.24 EUR | 61.63 EUR | 0.95 | 14.69 | 70 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 73.64 EUR | -7.7% | 63.33 EUR | 61.56 EUR | 1.10 | 15.42 | 170 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 79.80 EUR | 0.7% | 62.29 EUR | 61.48 EUR | 1.16 | 27.56 | 230 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 79.23 EUR | -3.6% | 61.15 EUR | 61.36 EUR | 0.96 | 26.61 | 2.5K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 82.22 EUR | 2.0% | 60.02 EUR | 61.25 EUR | 0.70 | 30.24 | 1.7K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 80.64 EUR | 20.7% | 59.33 EUR | 61.12 EUR | 0.44 | 29.55 | 141 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 66.81 EUR | 0.0% | 58.69 EUR | 61.00 EUR | 0.21 | 12.09 | 0 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 66.81 EUR | 0.0% | 58.52 EUR | 60.96 EUR | 0.21 | 10.47 | 0 | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 66.81 EUR | 0.0% | 58.34 EUR | 60.93 EUR | 0.11 | 10.79 | 0 | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 66.81 EUR | 0.0% | 58.17 EUR | 60.90 EUR | -0.06 | 11.61 | 0 | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 66.81 EUR | 10.5% | 57.99 EUR | 60.86 EUR | -0.21 | 9.02 | 1.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.