- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
MONC
MIL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Moncler S.p.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing
Latest close
50.66 EUR
3.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 1.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
50.66 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
26.9%
14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.4%.
Indicator stack
15/25
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 1.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2512-week average 0.37
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.4% over four weeks, 4.9% over 12 weeks, and 11.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-153.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.47Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
2 positive · 18 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-8.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank10 / 43
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth27.9%
Trend27.9%active weekly trend signals
MD55.8%positive activity pressure
RS11.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Apparel Manufacturing
4-week rank2 / 5
Group average-2.0%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape32/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis24/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.25; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
Is Moncler (BIT:MONC) Quietly Redefining Its LVMH Ties With Sidney Toledano’s Board Role? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 50.66 EUR | 3.6% | 51.33 EUR | 52.56 EUR | -0.72 | -15.47 | 5.2M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 48.92 EUR | 2.0% | 51.40 EUR | 52.62 EUR | -0.78 | -16.18 | 5.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 47.94 EUR | -5.3% | 51.54 EUR | 52.68 EUR | -0.64 | -17.56 | 12.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 50.64 EUR | 1.4% | 51.75 EUR | 52.76 EUR | -0.46 | -13.41 | 5.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 49.94 EUR | -2.3% | 51.89 EUR | 52.81 EUR | -0.28 | -16.14 | 4.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 51.14 EUR | -0.4% | 52.04 EUR | 52.89 EUR | -0.06 | -14.87 | 746.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 51.32 EUR | -2.9% | 52.22 EUR | 52.93 EUR | 0.05 | -12.40 | 554.9K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 52.84 EUR | -1.9% | 52.39 EUR | 52.98 EUR | 0.32 | -12.75 | 2.3M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 53.86 EUR | -0.6% | 52.45 EUR | 53.01 EUR | 0.24 | -9.06 | 2.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 54.18 EUR | -3.0% | 52.51 EUR | 53.07 EUR | 0.09 | -5.90 | 675.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 55.86 EUR | 8.4% | 52.49 EUR | 53.10 EUR | 0.15 | -3.59 | 6.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 51.52 EUR | 6.6% | 52.31 EUR | 53.13 EUR | -0.10 | -10.46 | 5.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 48.31 EUR | -8.8% | 52.33 EUR | 53.17 EUR | 0.11 | -15.78 | 5.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 52.97 EUR | 6.4% | 52.41 EUR | 53.24 EUR | 0.36 | -8.57 | 4.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.