IBM GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

International Business Machines Corporation · Technology · Information Technology Services

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Latest close 203.3 EUR
6.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a -20.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 27 out of 100
Latest Close 203.3 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 6.9% latest completed week
4W Return -20.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.49% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 6.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -20.1%. Indicator stack 21/42 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.49% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 47/100 22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a -20.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4312-week average 0.28

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -20.1% over four weeks, 8.4% over 12 weeks, and -1.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.9%
4W-20.1%
12W8.4%
26W-18.0%
52W-1.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-102.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-339.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength24/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum42/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
58.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
18.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
73.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-2.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

3 positive · 12 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.3%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-27.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+6.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol10.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape30/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis39/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 6/12.

Activity pressure 0.43; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.49%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.49% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 38 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) Stock Up 3.9% and Sti Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026203.3 EUR6.9%218.7 EUR193.7 EUR-0.01-17.4130.2KOff
31 Jul 2026190.2 EUR1.2%220.5 EUR193.2 EUR0.30-20.7879.3KOff
24 Jul 2026188.0 EUR1.8%222.3 EUR192.7 EUR0.48-20.2748.2KOff
17 Jul 2026184.8 EUR-27.4%224.5 EUR192.3 EUR0.68-21.01137.8KOff
10 Jul 2026254.6 EUR1.5%226.8 EUR191.8 EUR0.677.2821.7KOff
3 Jul 2026250.9 EUR5.4%226.8 EUR190.9 EUR0.572.871.6KOff
26 Jun 2026238.0 EUR10.0%227.2 EUR189.9 EUR0.611.9011.4KOff
19 Jun 2026216.4 EUR-8.8%227.9 EUR189.1 EUR0.81-8.616.1KOff
12 Jun 2026237.1 EUR-4.4%229.2 EUR188.4 EUR0.941.256.0KOff
5 Jun 2026248.1 EUR-1.1%229.9 EUR187.6 EUR0.565.359.2KOff
29 May 2026250.9 EUR13.1%230.2 EUR186.8 EUR0.205.2248.7KOff
22 May 2026221.9 EUR18.3%230.5 EUR185.9 EUR-0.42-6.0347.2KOff
15 May 2026187.6 EUR-3.5%231.6 EUR185.1 EUR-0.79-17.5014.8KOff
8 May 2026194.4 EUR0.3%233.0 EUR184.6 EUR-0.76-16.1837.8KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context