- The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
XRG
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
xReality Group Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Latest close
0.07 AUD
-4.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.3%, after a -1.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
51
out of 100
Latest Close
0.07 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-4.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
67.3%
35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.25% based on similar historical setup states.
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.5%.
Indicator stack
82/39
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.25%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.3%, after a -1.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8312-week average 0.88
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.5% over four weeks, 9.8% over 12 weeks, and 45.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-113.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-49.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024
Field coverage 70%
Model confidence 21%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth9/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 5.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -3.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 82.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -37.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -25.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -8.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -6.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -6.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -6.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -84.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-4.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks5
Modest losses2
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank69 / 91
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth19.8%
Trend19.8%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS25.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Leisure
4-week rank3 / 5
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape53/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis79/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.83; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.25%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.25% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors29/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 77; Small Cap Core rank 91 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.07 AUD | -4.3% | 0.06 AUD | 0.04 AUD | -0.13 | 13.32 | 563.9K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 12.9% | 0.06 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 0.28 | 22.92 | 2.1M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.06 AUD | 1.6% | 0.06 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 0.44 | 12.82 | 2.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -10.3% | 0.06 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 0.68 | 12.09 | 3.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 0.0% | 0.06 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 1.01 | 26.42 | 5.4M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 6.3% | 0.06 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 0.89 | 27.76 | 26.2K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -4.5% | 0.06 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 0.96 | 23.04 | 89.7K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 4.7% | 0.05 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 1.15 | 29.51 | 609.6K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -8.6% | 0.05 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 1.18 | 25.73 | 572.8K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 2.9% | 0.05 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 1.28 | 42.20 | 131.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 7.9% | 0.05 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 1.21 | 38.54 | 2.4M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.06 AUD | 3.3% | 0.05 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 1.22 | 31.37 | 2.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.06 AUD | 5.2% | 0.05 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 1.10 | 29.29 | 2.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -1.7% | 0.05 AUD | 0.04 AUD | 0.94 | 22.84 | 2.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.