2454 TAI Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MediaTek Inc. · Technology · Semiconductors

Latest close 4,210 TWD
7.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 47.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.9%, after a 24.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 4,210 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return 7.9% latest completed week
4W Return 24.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 34-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 47.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.9%, after a 24.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7712-week average 0.88

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 24.9% over four weeks, 9.7% over 12 weeks, and 219.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 34 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.9%
4W24.9%
12W9.7%
26W147.7%
52W219.8%
Active trend streak34 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-219.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership49.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change48.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+39.1%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-14.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+7.9%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains14
Modest gains0
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.1% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 20264,210 TWD7.9%2,851 TWD1,468 TWD-0.4849.2738.3MOn
7 Aug 20263,900 TWD9.7%2,758 TWD1,445 TWD-0.4544.9246.6MOn
31 Jul 20263,555 TWD-5.2%2,675 TWD1,424 TWD-0.2736.8650.0MOn
24 Jul 20263,750 TWD11.3%2,602 TWD1,405 TWD0.0743.6445.1MOn
17 Jul 20263,370 TWD-14.1%2,523 TWD1,385 TWD0.4033.2238.5MOn
10 Jul 20263,925 TWD-5.9%2,456 TWD1,367 TWD0.8146.850On
3 Jul 20264,170 TWD8.1%2,371 TWD1,346 TWD1.1452.7950.0MOn
26 Jun 20263,857 TWD-11.6%2,278 TWD1,323 TWD1.3550.0472.2MOn
19 Jun 20264,364 TWD5.0%2,186 TWD1,303 TWD1.5764.6240.6MOn
12 Jun 20264,155 TWD-2.8%2,081 TWD1,279 TWD1.6567.1366.2MOn
5 Jun 20264,274 TWD-0.2%1,983 TWD1,256 TWD1.5770.6860.3MOn
29 May 20264,284 TWD11.7%1,884 TWD1,232 TWD1.6174.6974.4MOn
22 May 20263,837 TWD18.4%1,783 TWD1,208 TWD1.5967.8047.9MOn
15 May 20263,241 TWD-10.2%1,698 TWD1,187 TWD1.6147.1139.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context