- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
P2AX34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Patria Investments Limited · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
29.64 BRL
10.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.8%, after a 4.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
23
out of 100
Latest Close
29.64 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
10.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
10.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.6%.
Indicator stack
28/32
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 34.20%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.8%, after a 4.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.10
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.6% over four weeks, 3.3% over 12 weeks, and -16.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-201.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change33.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
2 positive · 13 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-7.9%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+10.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains4
Flat weeks5
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Financial Services
4-week rank30 / 100
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Asset Management
4-week rank3 / 14
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth28.6%
Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals
MD35.7%positive activity pressure
RS42.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape19/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 19/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 34.20%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 34.20% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
Patria Investments: Still Too Cheap After Another Outstanding Quarter (NASDAQ:PAX) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 29.64 BRL | 10.8% | 31.48 BRL | 32.76 BRL | -0.11 | -17.84 | 5 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 26.75 BRL | -0.9% | 32.02 BRL | 32.78 BRL | -0.24 | -28.73 | 1.0K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 26.99 BRL | -3.4% | 32.60 BRL | 32.81 BRL | -0.17 | -27.29 | 1.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 27.93 BRL | -1.5% | 33.12 BRL | 32.84 BRL | -0.02 | -25.41 | 55 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 28.34 BRL | 0.4% | 33.58 BRL | 32.87 BRL | 0.11 | -26.79 | 42 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 28.22 BRL | -5.5% | 34.06 BRL | 32.90 BRL | 0.09 | -26.31 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 29.88 BRL | 0.0% | 34.46 BRL | 32.93 BRL | 0.07 | -22.22 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 29.88 BRL | 5.3% | 34.79 BRL | 32.95 BRL | -0.13 | -20.69 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 28.38 BRL | 0.0% | 35.11 BRL | 32.97 BRL | -0.28 | -26.35 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 28.38 BRL | 1.4% | 35.48 BRL | 33.00 BRL | -0.42 | -26.03 | 60 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 27.99 BRL | -0.0% | 35.80 BRL | 33.03 BRL | -0.53 | -29.62 | 44 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 28.00 BRL | -2.4% | 36.12 BRL | 33.06 BRL | -0.63 | -31.11 | 151 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 28.70 BRL | -6.4% | 36.38 BRL | 33.10 BRL | -0.75 | -30.32 | 11 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 30.65 BRL | -2.5% | 36.61 BRL | 33.13 BRL | -0.80 | -28.81 | 3 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.