AVOL EBS Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Avolta AG · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Latest close 49.58 CHF
2.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a -6.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 49.58 CHF 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.6% latest completed week
4W Return -6.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a -6.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7012-week average 0.65

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.2% over four weeks, 11.6% over 12 weeks, and 13.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.6%
4W-6.2%
12W11.6%
26W2.9%
52W13.6%
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-73.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-162.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

3 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-12.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+2.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCH Specialty Retail
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-3.7%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202649.58 CHF2.6%48.01 CHF38.45 CHF0.21-3.121.1MOn
31 Jul 202648.34 CHF3.3%47.94 CHF38.39 CHF0.35-4.381.6MOn
24 Jul 202646.80 CHF-2.1%47.86 CHF38.33 CHF0.48-7.371.6MOn
17 Jul 202647.78 CHF-9.6%47.83 CHF38.30 CHF0.71-5.671.7MOn
10 Jul 202652.85 CHF-3.6%47.76 CHF38.25 CHF0.785.011.4MOn
3 Jul 202654.80 CHF2.0%47.50 CHF38.17 CHF0.627.52163.0KOn
26 Jun 202653.75 CHF4.6%47.23 CHF38.07 CHF0.237.45255.8KOn
19 Jun 202651.40 CHF2.0%46.87 CHF37.97 CHF-0.045.90730.4KOn
12 Jun 202650.40 CHF7.2%46.55 CHF37.87 CHF-0.314.49649.9KOn
5 Jun 202647.00 CHF-4.7%46.30 CHF37.79 CHF-0.62-0.10430.2KOn
29 May 202649.30 CHF6.7%46.11 CHF37.73 CHF-0.573.651.4MOn
22 May 202646.22 CHF4.1%45.84 CHF37.66 CHF-0.78-2.471.5MOff
15 May 202644.42 CHF-2.5%45.65 CHF37.62 CHF-0.73-4.281.4MOff
8 May 202645.56 CHF8.6%45.53 CHF37.60 CHF-0.36-1.001.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context