CRIN GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

UniCredit S.p.A. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 85.09 EUR
3.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 2.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 77 out of 100
Latest Close 85.09 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.8% latest completed week
4W Return 2.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 2.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9312-week average 0.70

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.93Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.5% over four weeks, 19.4% over 12 weeks, and 32.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.8%
4W2.5%
12W19.4%
26W17.9%
52W32.2%
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change41.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.59Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-25.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 70% Model confidence 65%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength53/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Value42/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth27/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
29.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
15.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

2 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202685.09 EUR3.8%71.79 EUR45.86 EUR1.3315.5952.2KOn
31 Jul 202682.00 EUR1.9%71.25 EUR45.43 EUR1.2214.84188.1KOn
24 Jul 202680.46 EUR-0.5%70.83 EUR45.03 EUR1.0615.6048.6KOn
17 Jul 202680.89 EUR-2.5%70.42 EUR44.64 EUR0.9618.1225.0KOn
10 Jul 202682.99 EUR1.6%70.02 EUR44.24 EUR0.9420.8731.1KOn
3 Jul 202681.66 EUR5.8%69.45 EUR43.83 EUR0.7416.4914.9KOn
26 Jun 202677.19 EUR-3.5%68.84 EUR43.42 EUR0.5815.804.3KOn
19 Jun 202680.00 EUR8.9%68.35 EUR43.05 EUR0.4919.264.8KOn
12 Jun 202673.45 EUR0.4%67.68 EUR42.64 EUR0.3311.7911.6KOn
5 Jun 202673.14 EUR-1.5%67.28 EUR42.28 EUR0.1811.336.3KOn
29 May 202674.25 EUR2.8%66.84 EUR41.91 EUR0.1112.0022.3KOn
22 May 202672.22 EUR1.3%66.40 EUR41.54 EUR-0.1410.4637.2KOn
15 May 202671.26 EUR1.1%65.95 EUR41.18 EUR-0.3813.8125.9KOn
8 May 202670.51 EUR7.4%65.53 EUR40.83 EUR-0.4311.4075.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context