- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.12% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
CBO
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Cobram Estate Olives Limited · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
3.53 AUD
9.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.0%, after a -3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
40
out of 100
Latest Close
3.53 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
9.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-13.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
9.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.3%.
Indicator stack
45/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.12%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.0%, after a -3.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6512-week average 0.81
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.3% over four weeks, -13.9% over 12 weeks, and 32.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.91Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-491.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-133.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality16/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth93/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework14/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 34.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 7.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 16.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -1.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 56.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 26.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -9.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 6.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 166.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
1 positive · 18 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-11.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+9.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Defensive
4-week rank45 / 60
Group average3.1%
Trend breadth21.7%
Trend21.7%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS23.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Packaged Foods
4-week rank17 / 25
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth16.0%
Trend16.0%active weekly trend signals
MD44.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis60/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.65; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.12%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.12% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors29/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 66; Small Cap Core rank 93 SVQF14/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 220.5 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
What Keeps Cobram Estate Olives (ASX:CBO) on Investor Watchlists? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.53 AUD | 9.0% | 3.60 AUD | 2.31 AUD | -0.91 | -2.60 | 2.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.24 AUD | -1.5% | 3.61 AUD | 2.30 AUD | -0.70 | -7.39 | 4.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.29 AUD | 0.0% | 3.64 AUD | 2.28 AUD | -0.35 | -3.44 | 3.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.29 AUD | -9.9% | 3.64 AUD | 2.27 AUD | -0.03 | -3.24 | 3.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.65 AUD | -11.2% | 3.63 AUD | 2.26 AUD | 0.23 | 7.76 | 5.4M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.11 AUD | 3.0% | 3.60 AUD | 2.24 AUD | 0.38 | 21.65 | 440.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.99 AUD | 5.8% | 3.56 AUD | 2.22 AUD | 0.45 | 20.51 | 749.6K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.77 AUD | -3.8% | 3.53 AUD | 2.21 AUD | 0.61 | 14.24 | 767.4K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.92 AUD | -1.3% | 3.51 AUD | 2.19 AUD | 0.82 | 20.26 | 697.9K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.97 AUD | -3.6% | 3.48 AUD | 2.17 AUD | 1.01 | 25.67 | 2.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.12 AUD | 5.1% | 3.46 AUD | 2.15 AUD | 0.93 | 30.37 | 2.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.92 AUD | -4.4% | 3.43 AUD | 2.13 AUD | 0.76 | 26.71 | 3.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.10 AUD | 7.6% | 3.41 AUD | 2.12 AUD | 0.39 | 34.55 | 4.2M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.81 AUD | -2.8% | 3.39 AUD | 2.10 AUD | -0.14 | 25.14 | 2.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.