- The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AP3
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Latest close
259.9 EUR
1.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a -0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
51
out of 100
Latest Close
259.9 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
2.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.82% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.6%.
Indicator stack
67/60
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.82%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
11 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a -0.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5312-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.53Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.6% over four weeks, 2.8% over 12 weeks, and 7.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change114.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.23Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-82.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality18/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Momentum43/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Growth32/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework18/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 27.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 17.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -1.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 32.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 24.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -10.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -0.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
0 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-4.9%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Basic Materials
4-week rank29 / 44
Group average3.5%
Trend breadth47.7%
Trend47.7%active weekly trend signals
MD20.5%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Specialty Chemicals
4-week rank10 / 18
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth61.1%
Trend61.1%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape53/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis68/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.53; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.82%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.82% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors17/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 86; Small Cap Core rank 86 SVQF18/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 308.5 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
Air Products and Chemicals (AP3) Q1 2025 Earnings Report - Results, Call & Slides Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 259.9 EUR | 1.8% | 247.0 EUR | 242.1 EUR | 0.07 | 1.23 | 70 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 255.2 EUR | -2.4% | 245.7 EUR | 242.0 EUR | 0.02 | 2.05 | 253 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 261.5 EUR | -0.4% | 244.2 EUR | 241.9 EUR | 0.08 | 6.73 | 135 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 262.5 EUR | 0.4% | 242.3 EUR | 241.9 EUR | -0.18 | 8.36 | 157 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 261.5 EUR | -2.4% | 240.4 EUR | 241.8 EUR | -0.45 | 7.02 | 158 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 267.9 EUR | 10.2% | 238.4 EUR | 241.7 EUR | -0.60 | 6.65 | 70 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 243.2 EUR | 0.2% | 236.9 EUR | 241.5 EUR | -0.75 | 1.20 | 64 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 242.7 EUR | -0.8% | 236.2 EUR | 241.6 EUR | -0.70 | -0.26 | 10 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 244.7 EUR | -0.9% | 235.4 EUR | 241.6 EUR | -0.50 | 1.94 | 84 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 246.9 EUR | 4.3% | 234.6 EUR | 241.6 EUR | -0.24 | 2.30 | 56 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 236.7 EUR | -4.9% | 233.7 EUR | 241.5 EUR | 0.06 | -3.21 | 561 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 248.9 EUR | -1.5% | 232.7 EUR | 241.5 EUR | 0.47 | 2.58 | 130 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 252.8 EUR | 0.4% | 231.6 EUR | 241.4 EUR | 0.75 | 8.31 | 335 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 251.7 EUR | -1.1% | 230.3 EUR | 241.3 EUR | 0.85 | 6.22 | 569 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.